Hemustbeanangel has shown consistent placing form, finishing third in each of his last two starts, and has run over today's trip before; drawn in stall two and carrying 135 lb, the main risk is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6933
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Son Of A Fish faces a stiff ask here, with a struggling trainer who has sent out just two winners from 52 runners in the past fortnight offering little encouragement despite his distance experience.
Form last 6537
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR65RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Arctic Tsar is yet to win in his last three starts, with a sequence of two sixths and an eighth, and his speed rating of 53 gives little encouragement, though he has run over today's trip before and 27 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 6866
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Bossy Angel faces a stiff task here, with a speed rating of 54 doing little to inspire confidence; she has run over today's trip before and 46 days between runs suggests she returns fresh, but that may be her strongest suit.
Form last 69855
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR58RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fortunate won last time out but that single success in her last six starts, combined with finishing well down the field on two of those occasions, makes her hard to fancy on these figures, though she has run over today's trip and comes here fresh enough at 35 days off.
Form last 6045931
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Second last time out and winless in her last four starts, Perfect Hope nevertheless catches the eye as our top-rated runner in this field, her experience over today's trip and going a plus; drawn from stall one carrying 131 lb, she looks the one to beat if reproducing that placed effort.
Form last 66982
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR86RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last three starts, Honeymoon Bear nevertheless catches the eye with our rating of 78 suggesting she is notably better than her official mark, and she has run over today's trip before; the concern is that her form figures read 4th-4th-7th without a placing to show.
Form last 6744
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR78RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hamdani Mokhater shaped with promise when third and second in consecutive starts not so long ago, and he has run over today's trip, while our rating of 77 marks him out as a live threat from stall four on a light 12-day turnaround — the concern is that his last two runs have been well below those efforts.
Form last 6752379
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR77RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts but showed enough when third last time out, and he has run over today's trip before; the 128 lb burden from stall eight may make life harder for a horse still searching for a breakthrough.
Form last 6463
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR66RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
King Of Persia has run over today's trip before but is winless in his last three starts, with consecutive sevenths and a sixth, and 53 days off the track adds a fitness query; carrying 127 lb from stall six, he profiles as a midfield plodder with limited upside here.
Form last 6776
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR66RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Perfect Hope owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Tom WardRob Hornby
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Hamdani Mokhater
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · James Horton✓ Value Signal
Coul Blue
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · Michael Dods◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Son Of A Fish (SR:65, 9/2) carries a massive market signal — steaming in 30% since opening — which in a Class 6 nursery with 2-year-olds is rarely noise. The Hannon yard (12% strike rate, 1350 runners) is a powerful nursery operation and Joe Leavy (10%, 766 runners) is a capable booking. The DistFit:- flag is the main concern at 7f, but the ClassMv:↓4 drop is the largest in the field and gives significant class relief; a horse stepping back four tiers typically finds the race easier regardless of trip. The SR of 65 is mid-range here but the weight at 9-9 is shared with the top two, and the combination of class drop plus sharp market support makes this the standout case.
Each-way alternative: Arctic Tsar.
Main danger: Arctic Tsar — Arctic Tsar (SR:64, 5/1) has shortened 8% in the market, is handled by Rossa Ryan (17% strike rate — the best jockey booking in the race), and trainer Clive Cox (14%) is a consistently competent operator; a 5/1 price with those connections and a gentle market move makes it the most credible threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
DistFit:- flag at 7f is a concrete red flag — Son Of A Fish's form figures of 5-3-7 show a declining trajectory and may not have proven stamina for this trip at Leicester.
Arctic Tsar (5/1, Clive Cox 14% SR, Rossa Ryan 17% SR) represents a stronger trainer-jockey combination with superior strike rates, also steaming in (8%) and holding a comparable SR of 64.
Perfect Hope holds the field's top SR of 73 at 9-5 and is only 4/1 favourite — if the market has drifted it out 35%, there may be a going or fitness concern, but its raw ability rating still towers o…
The ClassMv:↓4 drop is only meaningful if the horse has the raw ability to capitalise — a form line of 5-3-7 (most recent a seventh) gives no confidence the horse is improving into this race rather t…
ShortlistSon Of A Fish, Arctic Tsar, Perfect Hope, Hamdani Mokhater