← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Faro Island
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Faro Island (SR:68, 3/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 6 points over Shambata and holds a proven DistFit:+ at 1m4f — the only runner with a confirmed positive distance record. The market has shortened 6% and the booking of Sam Coen (13%, 184 runners) is the strongest jockey combination in the race. The GoingFit:- flag is the main concern, but the SR edge (68 vs next-best 62) combined with top trainer A Oliver, market confidence, and distance suitability outweigh that reservation, especially as the going is Good rather than genuinely soft where the flag would bite harder. The MarkMv:+6 is a minor negative but manageable at this class level with 9 other runners carrying question marks over distance and going. Each-way alternative: Shambata. Main danger: Shambata — Shambata (SR:62, 6/1) carries only 9-5 for JP Murtagh's yard — a trainer with 11% strike rate and 700 runners — and as a 3-year-old running off a short 8-day turnaround showing trainer confidence, the featherweight and yard quality could unlock untapped improvement at this longer trip.
Full result
Winner: Coulstys Way (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Coulstys Way 10/1
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2
Canon Law 11/2
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3
Soaring Sun 16/1
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4
Shambata Fox #2 7/1
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5
Afloat 18/1
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6
Zesty Belle 33/1
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7
Faro Island Fox #1 7/2
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8
Idomything 20/1
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9
Belle Nuit Fox #3 6/1
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10
Summer Snow 18/1
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11
Sylkie 7/1
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12
Party Dress Fox #4 5/1
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13
A Man's Horse 25/1
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14
Kashel Spring 50/1
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15
Venerini 66/1
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—
My Vonnie 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Faro Island 3/1 7TH
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2
Shambata 6/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Belle Nuit 6/1 9TH
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4
Party Dress 9/2 12TH