← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Andersons - Quality For The Home Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Fast Performer
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Fast Performer (SR 74, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse on a going-adjusted basis, carries a very manageable 9-7, and is trained by William Haggas (21% strike rate, 1,154 runners — the strongest training operation in the field by a clear margin) with Cieren Fallon booked (19% career strike rate). The drop from Class 4 to Class 5 is a meaningful class relief and the tongue-tie applied first-time often sharpens juveniles. The form of 24 — a fourth and a second — shows consistent improvement and the market at 2/1 reflects genuine confidence. The GoingFit is unknown for all runners so no horse has a confirmed going advantage, but Haggas juveniles dropping in class typically outperform. Each-way alternative: State Of Gold. Main danger: State Of Gold — State Of Gold (SR 75, 3/1) is actually the joint-highest SR in the field, won last time out (form: 85721, rightmost = 1), and carries only 9-3 — 4lb less than Fast Performer — though the MarkMv:+5 and ClassMv:↑1 are genuine concerns that explain the preference for Fast Performer.
Full result
Winner: Caturra Lights (GB) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Caturra Lights 9/2
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2
Social Spirit 8/1
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3
Harlequin Gift 12/1
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4
Ponte Carlo 22/1
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5
Donegal Rose 14/1
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6
My Normandie 12/1
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7
Fast Performer Fox #1 5/2
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8
North Star Kodi Fox #3 5/1
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9
State Of Gold Fox #2 11/2
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10
Excessive 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fast Performer 2/1 7TH
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2
State Of Gold 3/1 9TH
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3
North Star Kodi 7/1 8TH