Consecutive thirds two and three starts back mark Caturra Lights as a consistent threat, he carries 135 lb from stall two and has run over today's trip, and our rating has him clear on top; the main risk is a below-par return from 102 days off, highlighted by that ninth last time out.
Form last 6339
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR81RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fast Performer has run over today's trip and steps back out after 34 days with a second two starts back giving him a solid recent profile; a trainer firing at 27% over the last 14 days boosts appeal, and our rating of 75 marks him as a leading contender despite being yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 624
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last two starts, both thirds, North Star Kodi returns after 105 days off and has experience over today's trip, with our rating edging above his official mark offering a small foothold; the lengthy absence is the question he must answer.
Form last 633
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Social Spirit shaped with promise when third last time out and, fresh off a 20-day break carrying 130 lb from stall three, he has experience of today's trip and conditions to call upon; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6356803
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR74RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Donegal Rose won three starts back but has since finished fifth and fourth before a tame ninth last time out, so her form is inconsistent at best; she has run over today's trip and carries 130 lb from stall 10, though 39 days off the track adds a further unknown.
Form last 65149
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR71RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last four starts and rated well below the field on our figures, My Normandie faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and carries 129 lb from stall five, but consistency has been elusive and 62 days off adds further uncertainty.
Form last 67565
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR63RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Harlequin Gift faces a stiff task here, though a third last time out offers a crumb of comfort and she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6753
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR65RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
State of Gold arrives here on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, but that seventh three starts back tempers enthusiasm; she has run over today's trip and the 27-day break looks straightforward, though 129 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 685721
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ponte Carlo shaped with promise when third three starts back and stands on our rating of 74, suggesting he retains more ability than his official mark of 64 reflects; the concern is that he has gone winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6386354
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR74RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Excessive is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after 29 days off a feasible weight of 121 lb from stall nine.
Form last 64594
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR63RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
State Of Gold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Craig LidsterClifford Lee
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Fast Performer
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · William Haggas✓ Value Signal
Excessive
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Tim Easterby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fast Performer (SR 74, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse on a going-adjusted basis, carries a very manageable 9-7, and is trained by William Haggas (21% strike rate, 1,154 runners — the strongest training operation in the field by a clear margin) with Cieren Fallon booked (19% career strike rate). The drop from Class 4 to Class 5 is a meaningful class relief and the tongue-tie applied first-time often sharpens juveniles. The form of 24 — a fourth and a second — shows consistent improvement and the market at 2/1 reflects genuine confidence. The GoingFit is unknown for all runners so no horse has a confirmed going advantage, but Haggas juveniles dropping in class typically outperform.
Each-way alternative: State Of Gold.
Main danger: State Of Gold — State Of Gold (SR 75, 3/1) is actually the joint-highest SR in the field, won last time out (form: 85721, rightmost = 1), and carries only 9-3 — 4lb less than Fast Performer — though the MarkMv:+5 and ClassMv:↑1 are genuine concerns that explain the preference for Fast Performer.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
State Of Gold (SR:75) is actually rated 1 point higher and arrives on a strong winning run (form 85721 — won last time out), representing a live market rival at 3/1 that Fast Performer's SR cannot di…
Fast Performer's only starts are a 4th and a 2nd — it has never won a race, and at 2/1 in a field where State Of Gold brings a fresher, more progressive profile, the price looks thin for a horse stil…
First-time tongue-tie on a juvenile is a variable not a certainty — if the horse reacts badly to the equipment change it could underperform, and there is no prior evidence it improves the horse speci…
34 days since last run in a juvenile race at this time of season is a mid-range gap; State Of Gold ran just 27 days ago, potentially sharper, and Haggas's advantage here is diluted by the fact Lidste…
ShortlistFast Performer, State Of Gold, North Star Kodi