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Lpd Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

15:12 Carlisle Wed 09 Sep 2026 1m3f39y Class 3 Good to Soft 12 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Flagbearer silks

Flagbearer

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 30%

9TH

Mr Fox says

Flagbearer (SR 152, 4/1) holds the highest SR in the field bar Act Of Generosity, carries a favourable 9-7 against Lord Byron's 10-0, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) into this maiden, and is backed by William Haggas (21% strike rate, 1154 runners) with James Doyle (18% SR) in the plate — a top-tier pairing that rarely turns up at Carlisle without intent. The 14% market shortening confirms stable confidence and the weight advantage over Lord Byron (7lb) is significant at 1m3f on good-to-soft ground. Form of 4-3 is unspectacular but both runs came in tougher company; dropping in class here with market support is the key unlock. Each-way alternative: Harper Violet. Main danger: Lord Byron — Lord Byron (SR 149, 11/4) is the market leader and despite the 7lb weight disadvantage versus Flagbearer and a 6% drift, his 4-year-old experience and cheekpieces (first-time headgear effect) could see him prove his class at this level on ground that suits a hold-up stayer.

Verify· #16836

Full result

Winner: Harper Violet (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Harper Violet silks Harper Violet Fox #4 K. R. Burke · Clifford Lee 5/1
  2. 2 Wadacre Icon silks Wadacre Icon Charlie Johnston · Connor Beasley 33/1
  3. 3 Blue Hercules silks Blue Hercules William Muir & Chris Grassick · Daniel Tudhope 4/1
  4. 4 Act Of Generosity silks Act Of Generosity Fox #3 Roger Varian · Ray Dawson 7/2
  5. 5 Chico Dorado silks Chico Dorado Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Oisin Orr 40/1
  6. 6 Lord Byron silks Lord Byron Fox #2 Faye Bramley · Tom Eaves 9/2
  7. 7 Impierious silks Impierious Tom Clover · Cieren Fallon 17/2
  8. 8 Mighty Wave silks Mighty Wave Daragh Bourke · David Nolan 66/1
  9. 9 Flagbearer silks Flagbearer Fox #1 William Haggas · James Doyle 10/3
  10. 10 Lazy In Red silks Lazy In Red Donald Whillans · Greg Fairley 125/1
  11. 11 Casement Park silks Casement Park Simon West · Billy Garritty 200/1
  12. 12 Togeather Forever silks Togeather Forever Jim Goldie · Lauren Young(5) 40/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Flagbearer silks Flagbearer 4/1 9TH
  2. 2 Lord Byron silks Lord Byron 11/4 6TH
  3. 3 Act Of Generosity silks Act Of Generosity 4/1 🏁 4TH
  4. 4 Harper Violet silks Harper Violet 6/1 SP 3/1 🏆 WON