← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Fan Mail
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Fan Mail (SR:62, 7/2) shares the top SR in the field alongside Donald but carries 2lb less (9-6 vs 9-8) and is dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark 12lb below its last win — a significant handicapper's gift. The market has hammered it in 54% since opening, the strongest move in the race, signalling strong stable confidence. As Tim Easterby's yard #1 (backed by the stronger market move versus stablemate Bay Breeze's 26% steam), the apprentice claim from Jake Dickson (14%) adds a further 5lb weight relief. Two course places (Course:W0P2) confirm it handles Carlisle, and the class drop from a course specialist yard makes this a well-constructed stable plot. Each-way alternative: Bay Breeze. Main danger: Donald — Donald (SR:62, 7/2) matches Fan Mail on SR, has Callum Rodriguez (17% strike rate) aboard, and at a joint-market price could take advantage if Fan Mail's going fitness (GoingFit:?) proves a weakness on this Good to Soft ground.
Full result
Winner: Donald (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Donald Fox #2 4/1
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2
Little Beck Annie Fox #4 4/1
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3
Bay Breeze Fox #3 12/1
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4
Wee Dresser 50/1
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5
Fan Mail Fox #1 7/2
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6
Run This Way 14/1
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7
Summerstorms Dream 12/1
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8
Dream Forever 12/1
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9
Velvet Skies 25/1
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10
Zous Juice 9/2
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11
Runninman 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fan Mail 7/2 5TH
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2
Donald 7/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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3
Bay Breeze 17/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Little Beck Annie 7/1 🥈 2ND