Donald
SpeculativeDonald owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap Stakes · 0m5f182y
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Velvet Skies | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Donald | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Bay Breeze | 12/1 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Run This Way | 14/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Fan Mail | 7/2 open 17.00 | 7/2 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Coral |
| 6 Zous Juice | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Little Beck Annie | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Wee Dresser | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Dream Forever | 12/1 open 3.75 | 12/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 4.50 | 10/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Summerstorms Dream | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Runninman | 40/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Donald owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fan Mail (SR:62, 7/2) shares the top SR in the field alongside Donald but carries 2lb less (9-6 vs 9-8) and is dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark 12lb below its last win — a significant handicapper's gift. The market has hammered it in 54% since opening, the strongest move in the race, signalling strong stable confidence. As Tim Easterby's yard #1 (backed by the stronger market move versus stablemate Bay Breeze's 26% steam), the apprentice claim from Jake Dickson (14%) adds a further 5lb weight relief. Two course places (Course:W0P2) confirm it handles Carlisle, and the class drop from a course specialist yard makes this a well-constructed stable plot. Each-way alternative: Bay Breeze. Main danger: Donald — Donald (SR:62, 7/2) matches Fan Mail on SR, has Callum Rodriguez (17% strike rate) aboard, and at a joint-market price could take advantage if Fan Mail's going fitness (GoingFit:?) proves a weakness on this Good to Soft ground.