Carlisle 16:17 RESULTED
Class 6 9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap Stakes

Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap Stakes · 0m5f182y

Official Result

Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Donald (GB) Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron
    5/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Velvet Skies silks
Velvet Skies
Age 5 · 9-9
946208
60
33
64
5
9-9
25/1 12/1 25/1
Velvet Skies has run over today's trip and going, and our rating edges him ahead of his official mark, making him a sneaky threat from stall 11, though he arrives winless in his last six starts and that inconsistency — including an eighth last time out — is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

2
Donald silks
Donald
Age 4 · 9-8
454942
59
62
64
4
9-8
4/1 11/4 7/2
Second last time out and in good recent nick, Donald arrives here on the back of a fine run 20 days ago, carrying 134 lb from stall 3 over a trip and going he has encountered before; winless in his last six, but his overall profile makes him our pick.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Bay Breeze silks
Bay Breeze
Age 7 · 9-7
673446
58
57
64
7
9-7
12/1 8/1 9/1
Bay Breeze shaped with promise when fourth two starts back and third four starts back, and our rating of 64 ranks him second among the eleven runners here; he has run over today's trip and going, while the main risk is a winless recent sequence that offers no win to build on.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Run This Way silks
Run This Way
Age 8 · 9-7
711433
58
58
65
8
9-7
14/1 6/1 12/1
Run This Way arrives in fine fettle just 14 days since her last start, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and our rating has her narrowly top of this field; the concern is that she has finished third in each of her last two starts rather than converting.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Fan Mail silks
Fan Mail
Age 4 · 9-6
553409
57
62
62
4
9-6
7/2 9/2 7/2
Yet to score in his last six starts, Fan Mail has experience over today's trip and going, but that ninth last time out is hard to ignore; 34 days on the sidelines and 132 lb from stall seven give connections plenty to ponder with a gelding seemingly short of his best.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Zous Juice silks
Zous Juice
Age 5 · 9-5
94-902
56
55
60
5
9-5
9/2 5/1 4/1
Zous Juice ran second last time out, a promising effort for a gelding yet to win in his last five starts, though a ninth three starts back shows inconsistency; experience over today's trip and going, plus a 60 rating, offer some encouragement from stall 10 carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Little Beck Annie silks
Little Beck Annie
Age 4 · 8-13
4-7155
50
54
52
4
8-13
4/1 6/1 10/3
Little Beck Annie brings distance and going experience to the table and her win three starts back shows she can find the front end, but back-to-back fifths in recent starts are a concern, and six days between runs is a sharp turnaround at 125 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Wee Dresser silks
Wee Dresser
Age 3 · 8-10
783678
49
23
43
3
8-10
50/1 28/1 40/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Wee Dresser has done little to inspire confidence, with a run of sixth, seventh and eighth-place finishes dominating her recent record; she has run over today's trip before and returns after 58 days off, but those are slim positives.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Dream Forever silks
Dream Forever
Age 3 · 8-9
400012
48
50
44
3
8-9
12/1 11/4 10/1
Three unplaced efforts in his last six starts make Dream Forever hard to fancy, and our figures rank him well adrift of the field; he does hold distance and going experience and stall one is a neutral factor, but the overall profile offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Summerstorms Dream silks
Summerstorms Dream
Age 4 · 8-9
726630
45
39
41
4
8-9
12/1 18/1 9/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Summerstorms Dream faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick turnaround just seven days after a third two starts back suggests some residual form.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

11
Runninman silks
Runninman
Age 3 · 8-7
874065
45
24
47
3
8-7
40/1 16/1 33/1
Winless in his last six starts, Runninman does at least bring distance and going experience to the table from stall six carrying 119 lb, though a rating of 45 and a midfield ranking among these rivals suggests he faces a stiff task turning things around.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Velvet Skies 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
2 Donald 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
3 Bay Breeze 12/1 12/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Run This Way 14/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 14/1 Bet365
5 Fan Mail 7/2 open 17.00 7/2 open 13.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Coral
6 Zous Juice 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Little Beck Annie 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 4/1 Bet365
8 Wee Dresser 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
9 Dream Forever 12/1 open 3.75 12/1 open 5.00 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 open 4.50 12/1 open 4.50 12/1 open 4.50 12/1 Bet365
10 Summerstorms Dream 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Runninman 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Donald

Speculative

Donald owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 David & Nicola Barron Callum Rodriguez
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Zous Juice

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Michael & David Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Wee Dresser

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Katie Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Donald
49.7 4/1
2 6. Zous Juice
47.1 9/2
3 5. Fan Mail
45.9 7/2
4 7. Little Beck Annie
44.8 4/1
5 4. Run This Way
43.3 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fan Mail
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-6
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 8-13
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-5
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 8-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Age 8 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fan Mail
Confidence: Speculative

Fan Mail (SR:62, 7/2) shares the top SR in the field alongside Donald but carries 2lb less (9-6 vs 9-8) and is dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark 12lb below its last win — a significant handicapper's gift. The market has hammered it in 54% since opening, the strongest move in the race, signalling strong stable confidence. As Tim Easterby's yard #1 (backed by the stronger market move versus stablemate Bay Breeze's 26% steam), the apprentice claim from Jake Dickson (14%) adds a further 5lb weight relief. Two course places (Course:W0P2) confirm it handles Carlisle, and the class drop from a course specialist yard makes this a well-constructed stable plot. Each-way alternative: Bay Breeze. Main danger: Donald — Donald (SR:62, 7/2) matches Fan Mail on SR, has Callum Rodriguez (17% strike rate) aboard, and at a joint-market price could take advantage if Fan Mail's going fitness (GoingFit:?) proves a weakness on this Good to Soft ground.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form figure '0' (last-to-last run) and '9' (last run) — Fan Mail has finished tailed off or near last in two of its most recent starts, showing very poor recent form that makes the class drop look re…
  • 34 days since last run with HG:v (visor) — the headgear usage suggests the horse has had issues, and a near-month absence with no recent racecourse sharpness is a concern when rivals like Dream Forev…
  • Jake Dickson (14%, 184 rides) is a low-volume apprentice with a modest strike rate; the 5lb claim flatters the weight on paper but he carries 0 wins from just 184 rides, making race-reading in a comp…
  • Stablemate Bay Breeze (W1P1 at Carlisle, better course record) also received 26% market support — Easterby running two here splits stable resources and jockey quality, with Fentiman's course winner e…
Shortlist Fan Mail, Donald, Bay Breeze, Little Beck Annie
Each-way: Bay Breeze Danger: Donald

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m5f182y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade