Velvet Skies has run over today's trip and going, and our rating edges him ahead of his official mark, making him a sneaky threat from stall 11, though he arrives winless in his last six starts and that inconsistency — including an eighth last time out — is the obvious concern.
Form last 6946208
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Second last time out and in good recent nick, Donald arrives here on the back of a fine run 20 days ago, carrying 134 lb from stall 3 over a trip and going he has encountered before; winless in his last six, but his overall profile makes him our pick.
Form last 6454942
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR64RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bay Breeze shaped with promise when fourth two starts back and third four starts back, and our rating of 64 ranks him second among the eleven runners here; he has run over today's trip and going, while the main risk is a winless recent sequence that offers no win to build on.
Form last 6673446
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR64RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Run This Way arrives in fine fettle just 14 days since her last start, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and our rating has her narrowly top of this field; the concern is that she has finished third in each of her last two starts rather than converting.
Form last 6711433
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR65RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last six starts, Fan Mail has experience over today's trip and going, but that ninth last time out is hard to ignore; 34 days on the sidelines and 132 lb from stall seven give connections plenty to ponder with a gelding seemingly short of his best.
Form last 6553409
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR62RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Zous Juice ran second last time out, a promising effort for a gelding yet to win in his last five starts, though a ninth three starts back shows inconsistency; experience over today's trip and going, plus a 60 rating, offer some encouragement from stall 10 carrying 131 lb.
Form last 694-902
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR60RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Little Beck Annie brings distance and going experience to the table and her win three starts back shows she can find the front end, but back-to-back fifths in recent starts are a concern, and six days between runs is a sharp turnaround at 125 lb from stall four.
Form last 64-7155
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR52RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Wee Dresser has done little to inspire confidence, with a run of sixth, seventh and eighth-place finishes dominating her recent record; she has run over today's trip before and returns after 58 days off, but those are slim positives.
Form last 6783678
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR43RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Three unplaced efforts in his last six starts make Dream Forever hard to fancy, and our figures rank him well adrift of the field; he does hold distance and going experience and stall one is a neutral factor, but the overall profile offers little encouragement.
Form last 6400012
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR44RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Summerstorms Dream faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick turnaround just seven days after a third two starts back suggests some residual form.
Form last 6726630
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR41RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Runninman does at least bring distance and going experience to the table from stall six carrying 119 lb, though a rating of 45 and a midfield ranking among these rivals suggests he faces a stiff task turning things around.
Form last 6874065
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR47RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Zous Juice owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Michael & David EasterbyBilly Garritty
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Donald
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · David & Nicola Barron✓ Value Signal
Runninman
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Donald Whillans◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fan Mail (SR:62, 7/2) shares the top SR in the field alongside Donald but carries 2lb less (9-6 vs 9-8) and is dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark 12lb below its last win — a significant handicapper's gift. The market has hammered it in 54% since opening, the strongest move in the race, signalling strong stable confidence. As Tim Easterby's yard #1 (backed by the stronger market move versus stablemate Bay Breeze's 26% steam), the apprentice claim from Jake Dickson (14%) adds a further 5lb weight relief. Two course places (Course:W0P2) confirm it handles Carlisle, and the class drop from a course specialist yard makes this a well-constructed stable plot.
Each-way alternative: Bay Breeze.
Main danger: Donald — Donald (SR:62, 7/2) matches Fan Mail on SR, has Callum Rodriguez (17% strike rate) aboard, and at a joint-market price could take advantage if Fan Mail's going fitness (GoingFit:?) proves a weakness on this Good to Soft ground.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form figure '0' (last-to-last run) and '9' (last run) — Fan Mail has finished tailed off or near last in two of its most recent starts, showing very poor recent form that makes the class drop look re…
34 days since last run with HG:v (visor) — the headgear usage suggests the horse has had issues, and a near-month absence with no recent racecourse sharpness is a concern when rivals like Dream Forev…
Jake Dickson (14%, 184 rides) is a low-volume apprentice with a modest strike rate; the 5lb claim flatters the weight on paper but he carries 0 wins from just 184 rides, making race-reading in a comp…
Stablemate Bay Breeze (W1P1 at Carlisle, better course record) also received 26% market support — Easterby running two here splits stable resources and jockey quality, with Fentiman's course winner e…
ShortlistFan Mail, Donald, Bay Breeze, Little Beck Annie