← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Logic's 40th Anniversary Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Runninsonofagun
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Runninsonofagun (SR:77, 11/2) has steamed in 24% in the market — the strongest market move in the field — which combined with a top-joint SR of 77 and a last-time-out win (form reads 132261, rightmost = 1) makes a compelling multi-signal case. Trainer Tristan Davidson runs at a healthy 20% strike rate from 150 runners, and jockey Rowan Scott at 12% is a solid booking. The 9-10 weight is competitive, lighter than stableyard rivals, and the blinkers headgear (b) worn today matches a horse who has been progressive. Course form shows W0P2 at Carlisle providing familiarity with the track, and dropping back on a same-class mark (+3 above last win) is manageable given the recency of that win 16 days ago. Each-way alternative: One Night Thunder. Main danger: One Night Thunder — One Night Thunder (SR:73, 7/2) has shortened 22% in the market, boasts the best course record in the field (Course:W2P2), has a confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's good-to-soft ground, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) — a potent combination of track specialist credentials and market confidence that makes it the most credible threat to the selection.
Full result
Winner: Von Trotter (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Von Trotter Fox #4 7/1
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2
They All Know Me Fox #3 7/1
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3
One Night Thunder Fox #2 11/4
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4
Leopards Rock 12/1
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5
Sandy Craic 6/1
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6
Monsieur Kodi 10/1
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7
Only Dream Big 10/1
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8
The Gay Blade 18/1
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9
Albeseeingyer 9/1
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10
Runninsonofagun Fox #1 15/2
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Circle Of Trust -
Top 4 — how each finished
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