Carlisle 17:17 RESULTED
Class 5 9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September Logic's 40th Anniversary Handicap Stakes

Logic's 40th Anniversary Handicap Stakes · 0m6f195y

Official Result

Logic's 40th Anniversary Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Von Trotter (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby
    8/1
  2. 6/1
  3. 7/2J
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Monsieur Kodi silks
Monsieur Kodi
Age 7 · 10-0
317424
75
71
83
7
10-0
10/1 17/2 9/1
Caught the eye with a second two starts back, and a winner five starts back, Monsieur Kodi brings solid recent form to conditions he has tackled before, and 44 days between runs should leave him fresh enough to go close from stall 11 off 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
They All Know Me silks
They All Know Me
Age 4 · 9-12
881804
73
75
85
4
9-12
7/1 6/1 7/1
They All Know Me arrives on the back of a win four starts back and returns in good order on 19 days' rest, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; the fourth last time out is the concern, though his rating of 85 marks him as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Runninsonofagun silks
Runninsonofagun
Age 4 · 9-10
132261
71
77
75
4
9-10
15/2 11/2 13/2
Runninsonofagun won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but a mark of 71 and 136 lb represent a stiff ask, and two wins in his last six starts suggest he blows hot and cold.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
One Night Thunder silks
One Night Thunder
Age 6 · 9-10
038765
71
73
82
6
9-10
11/4 10/3 5/2
One Night Thunder arrives fresh on 11 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 82 marks him out as a leading contender from stall 5 carrying 136 lb; the concern is that he is winless in his last six starts, with just one placed effort in that run.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
The Gay Blade silks
The Gay Blade
Age 7 · 9-9
611150
70
62
72
7
9-9
18/1 10/1 16/1
Three wins in his last six starts give The Gay Blade some claims, but ranked last of the runners on our figures and unplaced last time out after 65 days off, he faces a stiff ask at 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Leopards Rock silks
Leopards Rock
Age 3 · 9-8
3235
73
59
73
3
9-8
12/1 14/1 10/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Leopards Rock faces a stiff ask here; a return after 42 days and experience over today's trip are the modest positives, though a fifth last time out leaves little to cling to.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Sandy Craic silks
Sandy Craic
Age 3 · 9-6
551223
71
77
79
3
9-6
6/1 5/1 6/1
Sandy Craic arrives in fine fettle, placed in three of her last four starts — second two runs back and third last time out — and has experience of both today's trip and conditions; the concern is whether 132 lb from stall one will anchor her late.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Albeseeingyer silks
Albeseeingyer
Age 7 · 9-5
025633
66
65
74
7
9-5
9/1 6/1 15/2
Winless in her last six starts but Albeseeingyer has shown consistency of late, finishing third in each of her past two outings, and she has experience of today's distance and going; 131 lb and a ranking of eighth of eleven temper expectations.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Von Trotter silks
Von Trotter
Age 3 · 9-3
076212
68
75
75
3
9-3
7/1 9/2 7/1
Won two starts back and was runner-up last time out, so Von Trotter arrives in decent nick after 22 days off, and he has run over today's trip before; however, that sixth and seventh in earlier starts hint at inconsistency, and 129 lb is no light burden from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Circle Of Trust silks
Circle Of Trust
Age 3 · 9-3
-09210
68
56
74
3
9-3
SP 11/1 14/1
Showed a willing streak when winning two starts back, and a runner-up finish three starts back adds to the case, but he has gone unplaced in his most recent outing and our rating of 74 leaves him in mid-division among these rivals; has run over today's trip and going, and 32 days off should mean fitness is fine.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Only Dream Big silks
Only Dream Big
Age 3 · 8-10
556352
61
62
73
3
8-10
10/1 11/2 10/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Only Dream Big faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a second last time out offers a sliver of encouragement ahead of a quick five-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Monsieur Kodi 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 10/1 Bet365
2 They All Know Me 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Betfred
3 Runninsonofagun 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
4 One Night Thunder 11/4 open 8.00 11/4 open 7.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Betfred
5 The Gay Blade 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 Bet365
6 Leopards Rock 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Sandy Craic 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
8 Albeseeingyer 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
9 Von Trotter 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
10 Circle Of Trust 16/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 20/1 Paddy Power
11 Only Dream Big 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

One Night Thunder

Speculative

One Night Thunder owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Gemma Tutty Sam James
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

They All Know Me

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

The Gay Blade

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Iain Jardine
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. One Night Thunder
54.3 11/4
2 2. They All Know Me
51.0 7/1
3 3. Runninsonofagun
49.9 15/2
4 9. Von Trotter
49.9 7/1
5 7. Sandy Craic
48.5 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Runninsonofagun
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 9-10
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 10-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 8-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Age 7 · 9-9
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Runninsonofagun
Confidence: Speculative

Runninsonofagun (SR:77, 11/2) has steamed in 24% in the market — the strongest market move in the field — which combined with a top-joint SR of 77 and a last-time-out win (form reads 132261, rightmost = 1) makes a compelling multi-signal case. Trainer Tristan Davidson runs at a healthy 20% strike rate from 150 runners, and jockey Rowan Scott at 12% is a solid booking. The 9-10 weight is competitive, lighter than stableyard rivals, and the blinkers headgear (b) worn today matches a horse who has been progressive. Course form shows W0P2 at Carlisle providing familiarity with the track, and dropping back on a same-class mark (+3 above last win) is manageable given the recency of that win 16 days ago. Each-way alternative: One Night Thunder. Main danger: One Night Thunder — One Night Thunder (SR:73, 7/2) has shortened 22% in the market, boasts the best course record in the field (Course:W2P2), has a confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's good-to-soft ground, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) — a potent combination of track specialist credentials and market confidence that makes it the most credible threat to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • One Night Thunder has superior Carlisle course form (W2P2 vs W0P2) and a stronger market move (in22%) at shorter odds 7/2, representing a more proven threat at this specific track.
  • Form string 132261 shows a '2' immediately before the LTO win, suggesting inconsistency — the horse has placed or won in only 3 of last 6 starts with two mid-field finishes sandwiched in.
  • Sandy Craic matches the SR of 77 and carries 4lb less (9-6 vs 9-10), with a top jockey booking (Tudhope 16%) — the weight pull could be decisive on Carlisle's testing undulations.
  • Mark has risen +3 above last winning mark, and blinkers first-time today introduce an unknown element — if the headgear fails to settle the horse or causes it to race too freely, the run could unrave…
Shortlist Runninsonofagun, One Night Thunder, They All Know Me, Von Trotter
Each-way: One Night Thunder Danger: One Night Thunder

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f195y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade