← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Chesneys Charm
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Chesneys Charm (SR:73, 2/1) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside Talitha Rouge but carries only 9-12 and has attracted a striking 28% market shortening — the most aggressive steaming in the field — suggesting strong stable/market confidence. Jockey Hector Crouch (17% strike rate, 869 career rides) is a significant booking upgrade signal. While GoingFit:- is a concern shared by most rivals, the market money is clearly speaking loudly here and the horse's class advantage (SR:73 in a workmanlike Class 5 field where the median SR is around 60) is real. The 18-day turnaround on a horse fit enough to be backed this aggressively is a positive rather than a worry. Each-way alternative: Woodleigh. Main danger: Talitha Rouge — Talitha Rouge (SR:73, 7/2) matches Chesneys Charm on SR, carries a lighter 9-8, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ on today's conditions — the only horse in the field with both going and distance proven — and despite a 21% drift has course form (W0P1) at Redcar to boot.
Full result
Winner: Talitha Rouge (IRE) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Talitha Rouge Fox #2 4/1
-
2
Woodleigh Fox #4 11/2
-
3
Bay Dream Believer 8/1
-
4
Phantom Shadow Fox #3 7/1
-
5
Kartini 16/1
-
6
Lightning Galaxy 14/1
-
7
Chesneys Charm Fox #1 9/4
-
8
Port Darwin 11/1
-
9
Forever Perfect 28/1
-
—
Promethean 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Chesneys Charm 2/1 7TH
-
2
Talitha Rouge 7/2 SP 9/4 🏆 WON
-
3
Phantom Shadow 13/2 🏁 4TH
-
4
Woodleigh 11/2 🥈 2ND