Redcar 15:21 RESULTED
Class 5 9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Talitha Rouge (IRE) Mark Winn · David O'Meara
    9/4
  2. 11/2
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Promethean silks
Promethean
Age 5 · 10-2
0098-0
69
39
83
5
10-2
33/1 33/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 117 days away, Promethean's recent form makes uncomfortable reading, but he has experience over today's distance and going, and a rating of 83 puts him narrowly top of these.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

2
Chesneys Charm silks
Chesneys Charm
Age 4 · 9-12
-76073
65
73
76
4
9-12
9/4 11/4 32/17
Chesneys Charm finished third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 76 putting him firmly in contention from stall nine on a workable 18-day break; the main concern is a trainer badly out of form at just 4% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Bay Dream Believer silks
Bay Dream Believer
Age 7 · 9-11
176153
64
63
67
7
9-11
8/1 4/1 13/2
Third last time out but only fifth two starts back, Bay Dream Believer brings distance and going experience to this, and her 18-day turnaround looks sharp enough; the 137 lb burden from stall 10 may test her, however, against a competitive field at this level.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Phantom Shadow silks
Phantom Shadow
Age 3 · 9-9
235217
68
69
65
3
9-9
7/1 11/2 7/1
Phantom Shadow has shown he can win, with a victory two starts back and a second three starts back, but a seventh last time out is concerning and our rating ranks him eighth of ten in this field. Has run over today's trip and going, but the burden of 135 lb makes appeal limited.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Talitha Rouge silks
Talitha Rouge
Age 3 · 9-8
34362
67
73
77
3
9-8
4/1 5/2 4/1
Talitha Rouge arrives here fresh off a second last time out, and with a third three starts back, she has shown enough consistency to rank her as a leading danger despite being yet to score; the main risk is that sixth two starts back raises questions about her reliability.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Kartini silks
Kartini
Age 4 · 9-7
92-606
60
39
74
4
9-7
16/1 18/1 12/1
Kartini arrives on the back of a second four starts back and holds experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 74 suggesting she merits respect as a leading danger, though she remains winless in recent starts and consistency is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Woodleigh silks
Woodleigh
Age 5 · 9-6
554516
59
66
66
5
9-6
11/2 13/2 5/1
Woodleigh won two starts back but was only sixth last time out, and while he has run over today's trip and going, that inconsistency is a concern; the 132 lb burden and a field ranking of seventh offer little encouragement despite his recent winning form.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Port Darwin silks
Port Darwin
Age 3 · 9-3
615514
62
60
67
3
9-3
11/1 6/1 11/1
Port Darwin won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but a fourth last time out and 129 lb to carry give pause; lightly raced in this sphere, he sits in mid-division on ratings and will need a sharp return.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Lightning Galaxy silks
Lightning Galaxy
Age 4 · 8-13
995948
52
38
62
4
8-13
14/1 12/1 11/1
Lightning Galaxy has been winless in his last six starts, with an eighth last time out and little in the figures to inspire confidence ranked ninth of ten on our assessment; he has run over today's trip and going, and 13 days between runs at least means he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

10
Forever Perfect silks
Forever Perfect
Age 3 · 8-12
122300
57
39
61
3
8-12
28/1 18/1 16/1
Three unplaced efforts in her last three starts make Forever Perfect hard to fancy, ranked bottom of this field on our figures, though she does bring going experience and a placed run two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 39 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Promethean 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
2 Chesneys Charm 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.33 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 Bet365
3 Bay Dream Believer 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Phantom Shadow 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
5 Talitha Rouge 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
6 Kartini 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365
7 Woodleigh 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
8 Port Darwin 11/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 Paddy Power
9 Lightning Galaxy 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Forever Perfect 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Talitha Rouge

Speculative

Talitha Rouge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 David O'Meara Mark Winn
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Chesneys Charm

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Ivan Furtado
✓ Value Signal

Forever Perfect

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Rebecca Menzies
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Talitha Rouge
51.8 4/1
2 2. Chesneys Charm
50.6 9/4
3 7. Woodleigh
48.5 11/2
4 4. Phantom Shadow
46.1 7/1
5 3. Bay Dream Believer
43.9 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chesneys Charm
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-12
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-9
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 9-11
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 8-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chesneys Charm
Confidence: Speculative

Chesneys Charm (SR:73, 2/1) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside Talitha Rouge but carries only 9-12 and has attracted a striking 28% market shortening — the most aggressive steaming in the field — suggesting strong stable/market confidence. Jockey Hector Crouch (17% strike rate, 869 career rides) is a significant booking upgrade signal. While GoingFit:- is a concern shared by most rivals, the market money is clearly speaking loudly here and the horse's class advantage (SR:73 in a workmanlike Class 5 field where the median SR is around 60) is real. The 18-day turnaround on a horse fit enough to be backed this aggressively is a positive rather than a worry. Each-way alternative: Woodleigh. Main danger: Talitha Rouge — Talitha Rouge (SR:73, 7/2) matches Chesneys Charm on SR, carries a lighter 9-8, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ on today's conditions — the only horse in the field with both going and distance proven — and despite a 21% drift has course form (W0P1) at Redcar to boot.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Chesneys Charm's recent form reads -76073 — the last five runs show no win and a last-place finish, with the '0' and '3' suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse building toward a victory.
  • Trainer Ivan Furtado strikes at only 8% (700 runners), one of the weakest trainer strike rates in the field — the market move may reflect stable confidence but the handler's overall record undermines…
  • Woodleigh (W3P3 at Redcar, 17% market move in) has a dominant course record and is fresher off 9 days; Chesneys Charm has Course:W0P1 — zero course wins despite having visited — suggesting Redcar may…
  • GoingFit:- for Chesneys Charm means no confirmed going preference established, while Bay Dream Believer (HG:h) and Phantom Shadow (MarkMv:+10, consistent form 235217) offer more reliable form lines o…
Shortlist Chesneys Charm, Talitha Rouge, Phantom Shadow, Woodleigh
Each-way: Woodleigh Danger: Talitha Rouge

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade