Winless in his last five starts and returning after 117 days away, Promethean's recent form makes uncomfortable reading, but he has experience over today's distance and going, and a rating of 83 puts him narrowly top of these.
Form last 60098-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR83RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Chesneys Charm finished third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 76 putting him firmly in contention from stall nine on a workable 18-day break; the main concern is a trainer badly out of form at just 4% over the past fortnight.
Form last 6-76073
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR76RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third last time out but only fifth two starts back, Bay Dream Believer brings distance and going experience to this, and her 18-day turnaround looks sharp enough; the 137 lb burden from stall 10 may test her, however, against a competitive field at this level.
Form last 6176153
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR67RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Phantom Shadow has shown he can win, with a victory two starts back and a second three starts back, but a seventh last time out is concerning and our rating ranks him eighth of ten in this field. Has run over today's trip and going, but the burden of 135 lb makes appeal limited.
Form last 6235217
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR65RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Talitha Rouge arrives here fresh off a second last time out, and with a third three starts back, she has shown enough consistency to rank her as a leading danger despite being yet to score; the main risk is that sixth two starts back raises questions about her reliability.
Form last 634362
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR77RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kartini arrives on the back of a second four starts back and holds experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 74 suggesting she merits respect as a leading danger, though she remains winless in recent starts and consistency is the main concern.
Form last 692-606
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR74RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Woodleigh won two starts back but was only sixth last time out, and while he has run over today's trip and going, that inconsistency is a concern; the 132 lb burden and a field ranking of seventh offer little encouragement despite his recent winning form.
Form last 6554516
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR66RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Port Darwin won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but a fourth last time out and 129 lb to carry give pause; lightly raced in this sphere, he sits in mid-division on ratings and will need a sharp return.
Form last 6615514
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lightning Galaxy has been winless in his last six starts, with an eighth last time out and little in the figures to inspire confidence ranked ninth of ten on our assessment; he has run over today's trip and going, and 13 days between runs at least means he arrives fresh.
Form last 6995948
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR62RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Three unplaced efforts in her last three starts make Forever Perfect hard to fancy, ranked bottom of this field on our figures, though she does bring going experience and a placed run two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement.
Form last 6122300
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
39SR61RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Talitha Rouge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1David O'MearaMark Winn
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Chesneys Charm
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Ivan Furtado✓ Value Signal
Forever Perfect
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Rebecca Menzies◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Chesneys Charm (SR:73, 2/1) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside Talitha Rouge but carries only 9-12 and has attracted a striking 28% market shortening — the most aggressive steaming in the field — suggesting strong stable/market confidence. Jockey Hector Crouch (17% strike rate, 869 career rides) is a significant booking upgrade signal. While GoingFit:- is a concern shared by most rivals, the market money is clearly speaking loudly here and the horse's class advantage (SR:73 in a workmanlike Class 5 field where the median SR is around 60) is real. The 18-day turnaround on a horse fit enough to be backed this aggressively is a positive rather than a worry.
Each-way alternative: Woodleigh.
Main danger: Talitha Rouge — Talitha Rouge (SR:73, 7/2) matches Chesneys Charm on SR, carries a lighter 9-8, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ on today's conditions — the only horse in the field with both going and distance proven — and despite a 21% drift has course form (W0P1) at Redcar to boot.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Chesneys Charm's recent form reads -76073 — the last five runs show no win and a last-place finish, with the '0' and '3' suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse building toward a victory.
Trainer Ivan Furtado strikes at only 8% (700 runners), one of the weakest trainer strike rates in the field — the market move may reflect stable confidence but the handler's overall record undermines…
Woodleigh (W3P3 at Redcar, 17% market move in) has a dominant course record and is fresher off 9 days; Chesneys Charm has Course:W0P1 — zero course wins despite having visited — suggesting Redcar may…
GoingFit:- for Chesneys Charm means no confirmed going preference established, while Bay Dream Believer (HG:h) and Phantom Shadow (MarkMv:+10, consistent form 235217) offer more reliable form lines o…