← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Christmas Parties At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sir Carnegie
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Sir Carnegie (SR:112, 3/1) arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form reading 311651, rightmost = 1) with the market shortening 7% — the money is clearly on. Sean Bowen (23% career strike rate, 1,239 runners) is one of the most effective NH jockeys in Britain, a significant upgrade on most alternatives here. Carrying 11-9 he matches Glenmalure Flyer on weight but at a better odds-price and with more recent confidence, having run just 2 days ago suggesting connections are bullish about his well-being. Staying at the same class (ClassMv:=) and off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=) means no punitive handicap rise, and at 6 years old he is the youngest and most physically progressive horse in this field of veterans. Each-way alternative: Glenmalure Flyer. Main danger: Glenmalure Flyer — Glenmalure Flyer (SR:112, 13/8) is trained and ridden by the Skelton combination — arguably the most potent trainer-jockey pairing in British NH racing — and Harry Skelton's 27% strike rate means even a horse drifting 6% and stepping up in class must be respected as a serious threat.
Full result
Winner: Limerick Leader (FR) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Limerick Leader 2/1
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2
Thank You Blue Fox #3 5/2
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3
Glenmalure Flyer Fox #2 5/4
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—
Sir Carnegie Fox #1 SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sir Carnegie 3/1
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2
Glenmalure Flyer 13/8 🥉 3RD
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3
Thank You Blue 4/1 🥈 2ND