Christmas Parties At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 3m2f59y
Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Glenmalure Flyer | 5/4 open 2.10 | 6/5 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Thank You Blue | 5/2 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Limerick Leader | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Sir Carnegie | 3/1 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 | 11/4 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thank You Blue owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sir Carnegie (SR:112, 3/1) arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form reading 311651, rightmost = 1) with the market shortening 7% — the money is clearly on. Sean Bowen (23% career strike rate, 1,239 runners) is one of the most effective NH jockeys in Britain, a significant upgrade on most alternatives here. Carrying 11-9 he matches Glenmalure Flyer on weight but at a better odds-price and with more recent confidence, having run just 2 days ago suggesting connections are bullish about his well-being. Staying at the same class (ClassMv:=) and off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=) means no punitive handicap rise, and at 6 years old he is the youngest and most physically progressive horse in this field of veterans. Each-way alternative: Glenmalure Flyer. Main danger: Glenmalure Flyer — Glenmalure Flyer (SR:112, 13/8) is trained and ridden by the Skelton combination — arguably the most potent trainer-jockey pairing in British NH racing — and Harry Skelton's 27% strike rate means even a horse drifting 6% and stepping up in class must be respected as a serious threat.