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17:33 Lingfield (AW) Thu 10 Sep 2026 1m1y Class 4 Good 6 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Kaindy silks

Kaindy

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/5 Est. 38%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Kaindy (SR 94, 6/5) is the class leader in this field and carries a favourable weight of 9-8 — lighter than Lake Como (9-11) despite holding the superior SR. The form string 72-31 shows a progressive profile with a recent third and win, and the 15% market shortening from opening reflects informed confidence from the Roger Varian yard (20% strike rate, 1377 runners — a serious operation). The each-way case is complicated by the short price, but the combination of highest SR, lightest-in-weights advantage over rivals, trainer quality, and steaming market makes Kaindy the standout. The main concern is GoingFit:? suggesting limited data on this going bucket, but Good on AW at Lingfield is standard fare and not a dealbreaker. Each-way alternative: Lake Como. Main danger: Rogue Defence — Rogue Defence has the best course form in the field (W2P2 at Lingfield) and a proven distance record (DistFit:+), meaning the 52% drift may be overstating weaknesses if the course specialist fires on a track it knows well.

Verify· #17082

Full result

Winner: Lake Como (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Lake Como silks Lake Como Fox #2 George Boughey · Billy Loughnane 4/1
  2. 2 Kaindy silks Kaindy Fox #1 Roger Varian · Ray Dawson 11/10
  3. 3 Rogue Defence silks Rogue Defence Fox #3 Jack Jones · Robert Havlin 9/1
  4. 4 Vincenzo Peruggia silks Vincenzo Peruggia Charlie Johnston · David Egan 13/2
  5. 5 Queen Tamara silks Queen Tamara Harry Charlton · Finley Marsh 12/1
  6. 6 Loblolly silks Loblolly S Woods · Daniel Muscutt 15/2

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Kaindy silks Kaindy 6/5 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Lake Como silks Lake Como 7/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Rogue Defence silks Rogue Defence 15/2 🥉 3RD