← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Crafty Gael
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 13/8F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Crafty Gael (SR:87, 2/1) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin and is trained by Olly Murphy (24% strike rate, 1,781 runners — one of the strongest yards in the data) with Sean Bowen aboard (24% strike rate, 2,338 runners — a top-tier booking that confirms this is the yard's serious runner). The form string 008-32 shows consistent improvement into a placed effort last time, and at 11-10 the weight is manageable. The market has priced this horse firmly at the head of affairs, and the connections combination of Murphy/Bowen at a 24%/24% dual-strike rate is the strongest pairing in the race by distance. Each-way alternative: French Diablo. Main danger: Forest Spirit — Forest Spirit (SR:82, 4/1) has steamed in 17% in the market — the biggest mover in the field — carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-0, has course form (W0P1), and James Bowen's 20% strike rate for the Bowen yard makes this a live market mover that could outrun the going concern (GoingFit:-).
Full result
Winner: Crafty Gael (IRE) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Crafty Gael Fox #1 2/1
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2
Forest Spirit Fox #3 3/1
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3
Daaris 16/1
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4
Brionywells Fox #4 9/1
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5
French Diablo Fox #2 5/1
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6
Ramaah 16/1
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7
Butchers Bill 50/1
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8
Could Be You 10/1
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9
Athena's Dream 12/1
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10
Alex The Great 18/1
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11
Tis But A Scratch 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Crafty Gael 2/1 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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2
French Diablo 7/2 5TH
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3
Forest Spirit 4/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Brionywells 10/1 🏁 4TH