Daaris has been knocking on the door with three thirds in recent starts and returns on a quick turnaround of just 13 days, boasting experience on today's going and an encouraging rating of 98; the risk is he has been winless in his last five, and that eighth last time out raises a question about consistency.
Form last 63334/8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR98RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Crafty Gael has been knocking persistently on the door, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, and he arrives here on a handy 22-day turnaround with going experience in his favour; the concern is that he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
Form last 6008-32
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR96RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Brionywells arrives on the back of two wins in her last five starts, most recently a third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going — her chief risk is whether 164 lb blunts her finishing effort.
Form last 68-1143
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR90RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulling up twice in that sequence, Butchers Bill nonetheless heads the ratings and has run over today's trip and going, giving him the profile edge; 100 days off adds a fitness query, but 158 lb is manageable and he remains the one to beat.
Form last 65F-P7P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR100RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Forest Spirit has shown she can mix it at this level, finishing third last time out and a second four starts back, but she remains winless in her last five starts and a hefty 154 lb in the weights is a stiff ask for a mare rated 79.
Form last 63-2743
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR82RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Athena's Dream has shown consistent form without a win in her last five starts, running second last time out and third three starts back, though the fifth two starts back illustrates her inconsistency; she has run over today's trip and going, arrives fresh on 13 days' rest, but 153 lb is a stern test.
Form last 64-2352
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR88RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Could Be You is yet to win in his last five starts, a run that includes two pull-ups and a fall, and he carries 153 lb off an official mark of 78, though our rating of 85 suggests some untapped ability to balance the concern.
Form last 6P0P9-F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR85RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
French Diablo won two starts back but has pulled up on his latest outing and once more earlier in the sequence, with a third in between, making consistency the key concern; he has run over today's trip and returns after just 16 days, but his record in recent starts is patchy at best.
Form last 68-P31P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR78RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Ramaah is hard to fancy here, though he does bring distance and going experience and has placed three times in recent starts; the 67-day absence and a hefty 150 lb burden add further questions.
Form last 638-533
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR77RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and absent for 481 days, Tis But A Scratch faces a stiff ask as the bottom-ranked runner here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a third two starts back offers a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 67P/35-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR76RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Alex The Great makes for a tough sell here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and an eight-day turnaround at least confirms he arrives fit, but a career-best is needed.
Form last 69-4765
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR67RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Forest Spirit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Mickey BowenJames Bowen
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Crafty Gael
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · Olly Murphy✓ Value Signal
Tis But A Scratch
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Georgie Howell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Crafty Gael (SR:87, 2/1) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin and is trained by Olly Murphy (24% strike rate, 1,781 runners — one of the strongest yards in the data) with Sean Bowen aboard (24% strike rate, 2,338 runners — a top-tier booking that confirms this is the yard's serious runner). The form string 008-32 shows consistent improvement into a placed effort last time, and at 11-10 the weight is manageable. The market has priced this horse firmly at the head of affairs, and the connections combination of Murphy/Bowen at a 24%/24% dual-strike rate is the strongest pairing in the race by distance.
Each-way alternative: French Diablo.
Main danger: Forest Spirit — Forest Spirit (SR:82, 4/1) has steamed in 17% in the market — the biggest mover in the field — carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-0, has course form (W0P1), and James Bowen's 20% strike rate for the Bowen yard makes this a live market mover that could outrun the going concern (GoingFit:-).
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course record W0P1 at Worcester — has tried this track before and failed to win, only managing a place; no course-winning evidence to support favouritism.
Form string 008-32 includes two zeros and an 8 in recent history; the 'improvement' to a third last time is modest and could reflect weak opposition rather than genuine progress.
Forest Spirit is drifting IN at 17% (4/1) while Crafty Gael shows no market support movement — money is actively opposing the pick and backing a rival with similar SR (82) and a course win on the boa…
HG flag 'tp' (tongue-tie and hood) suggests the horse has had headgear changes, indicating a yard managing a quirky or problematic profile rather than a straightforward improver.
ShortlistCrafty Gael, French Diablo, Forest Spirit, Brionywells