← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Nabati
MEDIUM Advised 6/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Nabati (SR:115, 6/4) is the standout on ability — a full 26 SR points clear of the next-best Forbidden Fire (SR:89) and 28 clear of Rock Montreal (SR:87), which is a decisive margin at Listed level. Charlie Appleby's 33% career strike rate with William Buick (25%) is the most powerful trainer-jockey combination in the field, and a recent form line of 1-2-1 with a DistFit:+ at today's trip confirms this horse has proven it can handle 7f. The MarkMv:+2 is negligible, and stepping up in class (↑3) is exactly what Appleby does with progressive juveniles — his yard's record in this scenario is exemplary. No market drift, solid 6/4 market support. Each-way alternative: Rock Montreal. Main danger: Rock Montreal — Rock Montreal (SR:87, 13/8) has steamed in 27% in the market — the sharpest mover in the field — and Roger Varian's 20% strike rate with a course debutant backed this strongly suggests connections believe this once-raced winner has significant improvement in hand over 7f.
Full result
Winner: Forbidden Fire (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Forbidden Fire Fox #3 9/2
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2
Rock Montreal Fox #2 7/4
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3
Nabati Fox #1 11/8
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4
Minkaas 80/1
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5
Varzi 12/1
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6
Dandyman Dan 28/1
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7
Kach Above 80/1
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8
Engraved 20/1
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9
Vega King 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3