Doncaster 13:15 RESULTED
Class 1 11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race)

Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) · 0m7f6y

Official Result

Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Forbidden Fire (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding
    9/2
  2. 5/2
  3. Third Nabati (IRE)
    1/1F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dandyman Dan silks
Dandyman Dan
Age 2 · 9-2
15943
96
73
104
2
9-2
28/1 25/1 20/1
Dandyman Dan shaped with real promise when third last time out, and a winner five starts back, so the form is there; he has raced over today's trip and going before, though 49 days off the track is the one query connections must answer.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Engraved silks
Engraved
Age 2 · 9-2
2
58
86
2
9-2
20/1 20/1 18/1
Winless in recent starts, Engraved at least shapes with some promise after a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip before, but a rating of 86 ranking him seventh of nine makes him hard to fancy from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kach Above silks
Kach Above
Age 2 · 9-2
47114
94
76
97
2
9-2
80/1 25/1 66/1
Kach Above won two of his last five starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back, and has run over today's trip; drawn in stall one carrying 128 lb, the chief concern is a trainer who has gone 0/20 in the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Nabati silks
Nabati
Age 2 · 9-2
121
104
115
103
2
9-2
11/8 3/2 18/13
Nabati arrives in fine nick, a winner last time out and again three starts back, with only a second sandwiched between; he has run over today's trip and carries 128 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Rock Montreal silks
Rock Montreal
Age 2 · 9-2
1
87
80
2
9-2
7/4 9/4 7/4
Rock Montreal won last time out, so he arrives in form, and has run over today's trip; but ranked bottom of nine on our figures, he faces a stiff rise in class that makes him hard to fancy at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Varzi silks
Varzi
Age 2 · 9-2
21
87
84
105
2
9-2
12/1 8/1 10/1
Varzi arrives on the back of two tidy efforts — a win last time and a second two starts back — giving him strong recent momentum, and his trainer is firing at 31% over the past fortnight; the chief concern is whether 128 lb stretches his stamina over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Vega King silks
Vega King
Age 2 · 9-2
410
92
64
85
2
9-2
50/1 25/1 33/1
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Vega King is hard to fancy on his latest unplaced effort, and a seven-pound gap to his official mark underlines the concern; the trainer's sharp 31% strike rate over the past fortnight and experience over today's trip are the few crumbs of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Forbidden Fire silks
Forbidden Fire
Age 2 · 8-11
1
89
88
2
8-11
9/2 11/4 10/3
Forbidden Fire won last time out and has run over today's trip, giving her a pair of positives to call on from stall eight, but a speed rating of 53 and a ranking of sixth of nine suggest she faces a stern test against stronger company here.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Minkaas silks
Minkaas
Age 2 · 8-11
331
79
67
95
2
8-11
80/1 40/1 66/1
Minkaas won last time out and has run over today's trip, but she carries 123 lb from stall nine and faces stiffer company on a rating of 79, with our rating of 95 suggesting she holds unexplored potential to offset those concerns.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dandyman Dan 28/1 20/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 28/1 Bet365
2 Engraved 20/1 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 Bet365
3 Kach Above 80/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 26.00 80/1 Bet365
4 Nabati 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 open 2.63 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 3.00 6/4 6/4 13/8 Coral
5 Rock Montreal 7/4 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 15/8 Paddy Power
6 Varzi 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 14/1 Paddy Power
7 Vega King 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Forbidden Fire 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.33 10/3 10/3 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Paddy Power
9 Minkaas 80/1 open 41.00 70/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nabati

Live signal

Nabati owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Charlie Appleby William Buick
85% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rock Montreal

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Kach Above

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · David Loughnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Nabati
64.5 11/8
2 5. Rock Montreal
55.4 7/4
3 8. Forbidden Fire
55.2 9/2
4 6. Varzi
51.5 12/1
5 3. Kach Above
40.8 80/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nabati
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-2
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 115 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 8-11
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nabati
Confidence: Medium

Nabati (SR:115, 6/4) is the standout on ability — a full 26 SR points clear of the next-best Forbidden Fire (SR:89) and 28 clear of Rock Montreal (SR:87), which is a decisive margin at Listed level. Charlie Appleby's 33% career strike rate with William Buick (25%) is the most powerful trainer-jockey combination in the field, and a recent form line of 1-2-1 with a DistFit:+ at today's trip confirms this horse has proven it can handle 7f. The MarkMv:+2 is negligible, and stepping up in class (↑3) is exactly what Appleby does with progressive juveniles — his yard's record in this scenario is exemplary. No market drift, solid 6/4 market support. Each-way alternative: Rock Montreal. Main danger: Rock Montreal — Rock Montreal (SR:87, 13/8) has steamed in 27% in the market — the sharpest mover in the field — and Roger Varian's 20% strike rate with a course debutant backed this strongly suggests connections believe this once-raced winner has significant improvement in hand over 7f.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Rock Montreal (SR:87, 13/8) has drifted IN 27% — strong market support for a horse with a single race form line who may be unexposed and improving rapidly, suggesting the market rates this a genuine…
  • Nabati's form reads 1-2-1: the '2' in the middle means a defeat at what may be a comparable or lower level, raising questions about consistency under pressure in a Listed contest against potentially…
  • A class rise of ↑3 to Listed level is non-trivial — Appleby's record in this scenario is cited generically but this specific horse has only 3 career starts, making it a significant unknown whether th…
  • Forbidden Fire (SR:89, 4/1) carries a 5lb weight advantage (8-11 vs 9-2) — in a field of 2-year-olds at Listed level over 7f, that allowance is a meaningful edge that partially bridges the SR gap on…
Shortlist Nabati, Rock Montreal, Forbidden Fire
Each-way: Rock Montreal Danger: Rock Montreal

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m7f6y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade