← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Caballo De Mar
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/4 SP 5/6F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Caballo De Mar (SR 119, 5/4) is unambiguously the class leader in this field — with an SR 17 points clear of the next-best Winday (SR 102) and 21 points clear of Beylerbeyi (SR 98). The 25% market support (steaming in hard) with Oisin Murphy booked from a 22%-strike-rate partnership under George Scott (20%) signals strong stable confidence. Good to Soft going is confirmed as a positive (GoingFit:+), and carrying 9-12 as top-weight is manageable given the SR gap is so pronounced — this is not a competitive handicap where weight equalises the field. The most recent form figure of 4 followed by the market move suggests the yard is expecting a forward showing here. Each-way alternative: Winday. Main danger: Winday — Winday (SR 102, 4/1) has steamed in 33% with William Buick — a 25%-strike-rate jockey — booked, carries a featherweight 8-10 against Caballo De Mar's 9-12, and a last-run win (Form:730-1) at three years old suggests a progressive, still-improving profile that could handle the class rise better than the raw SR implies.
Full result
Winner: Caballo De Mar (IRE) at SP 5/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Caballo De Mar Fox #1 13/8
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2
Beylerbeyi Fox #3 4/1
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3
Ascending Fox #4 11/2
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4
Epic Poet 10/1
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5
Peace Belle 66/1
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6
Berkshire Sundance 16/1
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7
Winday Fox #2 7/2
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Queenstown -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Caballo De Mar 5/4 SP 5/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Winday 4/1 7TH
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3
Beylerbeyi 4/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Ascending 8/1 🥉 3RD