Doncaster 15:00 RESULTED
Class 1 11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2)

Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2) · 2m1f197y

Official Result

Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Caballo De Mar (IRE) Oisin Murphy · George Scott
    5/6F
  2. 5/1
  3. 13/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Doncaster

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chester

13:37–17:03 · 7 races

Sandown

14:01–17:32 · 7 races

Ballinrobe

15:24–19:10 · 8 races

Salisbury

15:41–18:28 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Queenstown silks
Queenstown Non-Runner
Age 6 · 9-7
6332-1
110
110OR
6
9-7
SP 31/19 3/2
1
Caballo De Mar silks
Caballo De Mar
Age 5 · 9-12
-22104
115
119
117
5
9-12
13/8 32/17 6/5
Caballo De Mar arrives on the back of a fourth last time out, but a win three starts back underlines his ability, and experience over today's trip and going suits; our top-rated runner here at 116, he looks the one to beat off 138 lb with 21 days between runs.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ascending silks
Ascending
Age 7 · 9-7
6-7064
99
93
105
7
9-7
11/2 18/1 4/1
Winless in his last five starts, Ascending nonetheless catches the eye on his going experience and an encouraging our-rating edge of 105 that marks him out as a leading danger here; the concern is a string of moderate finishes that leaves his winning thread hard to locate.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Berkshire Sundance silks
Berkshire Sundance
Age 6 · 9-7
011682
102
89
101
6
9-7
16/1 FCST 12/1
Showed well with a runner-up finish last time out, and he has run over today's trip before, but two below-par efforts in his last three starts overall temper expectations; 42 days off adds a fitness query for this gelding carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Beylerbeyi silks
Beylerbeyi
Age 6 · 9-7
360845
101
98
104
6
9-7
4/1 10/1 7/2
Beylerbeyi brings strong fitness, having run just 20 days ago, and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with his rating of 104 suggesting he holds solid claims in this field; the concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts, with a fifth last time out his most recent return.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Epic Poet silks
Epic Poet
Age 7 · 9-7
534650
107
93
115
7
9-7
10/1 17/2 7/1
Rated 115 by us against an official mark of 107 suggests Epic Poet is well treated, and he has going experience to call on having run over this ground before; the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts, and a return to form is required.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Peace Belle silks
Peace Belle
Age 5 · 9-4
442
102
71
99
5
9-4
66/1 50/1 40/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Peace Belle faces a stiff task here; the most recent of those efforts was a second last time out, and going experience on today's surface offers at least some encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Winday silks
Winday
Age 3 · 8-10
730-1
97
102
86
3
8-10
7/2 6/1 3/1
Winday won last time out but that victory sits against a backdrop of an unplaced run two starts back, and his rating of 86 leaves him ranked bottom of the seven runners here, making him hard to fancy despite the recent winning form.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Queenstown 13/8 6/4 open 2.63 13/8 13/8 13/8 13/8 13/8 Bet365
1 Caballo De Mar 13/8 open 3.00 6/4 open 2.88 6/5 open 3.00 6/5 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.00 13/8 Bet365
2 Ascending 11/2 open 21.00 11/2 open 23.00 4/1 open 21.00 4/1 open 21.00 9/2 open 19.00 11/2 open 21.00 11/2 Bet365
3 Berkshire Sundance 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 12/1 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Paddy Power
4 Beylerbeyi 4/1 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 4/1 open 13.00 4/1 open 13.00 7/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 Paddy Power
5 Epic Poet 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Peace Belle 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Paddy Power
8 Winday 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 3/1 open 8.00 3/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Caballo De Mar

Live signal

Caballo De Mar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 George Scott Oisin Murphy
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Winday

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Emmet Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Peace Belle

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Jennie Candlish
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Caballo De Mar
62.6 13/8
2 8. Winday
59.8 7/2
3 4. Beylerbeyi
56.4 4/1
4 5. Epic Poet
53.8 10/1
5 2. Ascending
53.2 11/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Caballo De Mar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 9-12
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 8-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 9-7
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Caballo De Mar
Confidence: Speculative

Caballo De Mar (SR 119, 5/4) is unambiguously the class leader in this field — with an SR 17 points clear of the next-best Winday (SR 102) and 21 points clear of Beylerbeyi (SR 98). The 25% market support (steaming in hard) with Oisin Murphy booked from a 22%-strike-rate partnership under George Scott (20%) signals strong stable confidence. Good to Soft going is confirmed as a positive (GoingFit:+), and carrying 9-12 as top-weight is manageable given the SR gap is so pronounced — this is not a competitive handicap where weight equalises the field. The most recent form figure of 4 followed by the market move suggests the yard is expecting a forward showing here. Each-way alternative: Winday. Main danger: Winday — Winday (SR 102, 4/1) has steamed in 33% with William Buick — a 25%-strike-rate jockey — booked, carries a featherweight 8-10 against Caballo De Mar's 9-12, and a last-run win (Form:730-1) at three years old suggests a progressive, still-improving profile that could handle the class rise better than the raw SR implies.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -22104: the horse has finished 4th most recently and has two seconds and two wins in the last five, but the '0' (last) just two runs ago at a similar level raises a durability question ove…
  • Winday (SR 102, 4/1) carries only 8-10 — a full 16lb less than Caballo De Mar's 9-12 — and arrives fresh off a win 15 days ago with William Buick (25% strike rate) booked and steaming in 33%; the wei…
  • Beylerbeyi has a proven Course:W2P3 record at Doncaster specifically, is also steaming in (65%) with Clifford Lee, and gets in 19lb lighter — course form on this track is a concrete edge Caballo De M…
  • At 5/4, the price leaves almost no margin for error; the market move is flat (MarkMv:=) suggesting no fresh money beyond what was already priced in, while rivals Winday and Beylerbeyi are both shorte…
Shortlist Caballo De Mar, Winday, Beylerbeyi, Ascending
Each-way: Winday Danger: Winday

🗺 The Course Class 1

2m1f197y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade