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Mr Fox’s call
Adalida
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Adalida (SR:79, 7/1, 9-10) combines the strongest convergence of signals in this field: a 24% market shortening is the biggest steam in the race and commands serious attention, Stuart Williams has clearly designated her the yard's #1 over stablemate Merrimack (senior jockey Marco Ghiani booked at 16% career SR vs. apprentice Chloe Lyons), and she drops a class off a form line reading 102125 — the recent '5' followed by a '2' and '1' shows she is in a purple patch. At 9-10 she carries one of the lighter weights in the field, a meaningful advantage over top-weights Merrimack and Moe's Legacy on 9-12. The class drop from her most recent outing provides additional confidence, and while distance and going fits are moderate rather than proven, the combination of market money, jockey booking, and class relief makes her the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Havana Smile. Main danger: Havana Smile — Havana Smile (SR:80, 6/1) has steamed in 18%, holds an excellent course record of W1P3 at Sandown, and drops a class — a compelling combination that makes her the most credible threat to Adalida on the day.
Full result
Winner: On Edge (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
On Edge 15/2
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2
Always Perfect Fox #4 11/4
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3
Adalida Fox #1 5/1
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4
Moe's Legacy 9/1
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5
Lazzar 20/1
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6
Merrimack 18/1
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7
Isle Of Lismore 8/1
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8
Cayman Tai 11/2
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—
Havana Smile Fox #2 11/2
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—
Hint Of Humour Fox #3 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Adalida 7/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Havana Smile 6/1
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3
Hint Of Humour 7/1
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4
Always Perfect 11/4 🥈 2ND