← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Luck Between Us
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 7/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Luck Between Us (SR:111, 4/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the field and carries only 11-3, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, 11-8) despite near-identical ability scores. The market has shortened 17% since opening — the clearest 'money in' signal in the whole field — and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits. The recent 607-12 form string shows a sharp upswing in form culminating in a win last time, and trainer Donncha Duggan, while a smaller yard, has placed this horse deliberately off a 12lb higher mark suggesting confidence the improvement is genuine. The combination of top SR, favourable weight, proven going preference, and meaningful market support makes this the most compelling multi-signal case. Each-way alternative: Pilgrims Walk. Main danger: Jupiter Du Gite — Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, 10/3) is co-top on ability, has back-to-back placed efforts in the 046-22 form string, carries a favourable MarkMv of -4lb, and at the shortest price in the field represents genuine market confidence that could translate if DistFit:- proves less relevant at this trip than the rating suggests.
Full result
Winner: Luck Between Us (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Luck Between Us Fox #1 5/1
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2
In The Minus 12/1
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3
Arcland 16/1
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4
Pilgrims Walk Fox #3 11/2
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5
Mickey Cohen 12/1
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6
Crossing The Bar 50/1
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7
Strange Currency 33/1
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8
Better Times 16/1
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9
Jupiter Du Gite Fox #2 5/2
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10
Free Flow 11/1
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11
Take The Free Fox #4 4/1
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12
Ehteyat 66/1
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13
Mr Dibbs 20/1
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14
Needs Must 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Luck Between Us 4/1 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
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2
Jupiter Du Gite 10/3 9TH
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3
Pilgrims Walk 6/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Take The Free 4/1 11TH