Ballinrobe 16:34 RESULTED
11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle

Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle · 2m6f5y

Official Result

Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Luck Between Us (IRE) Niall Moore · Donncha Duggan
    7/1
  2. 17/2
  3. 18/1
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  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ehteyat silks
Ehteyat
Age 7 · 11-13
3230-P
121
74
123
7
11-13
66/1 22/1 66/1
Placed twice in his last five starts — third three starts back and second four starts back — Ehteyat rates a serious threat here off a 22-day break, our rating of 123 putting him second of 14; the main concern is that pulled-up latest effort.
AI verdict

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Needs Must silks
Needs Must
Age 5 · 11-9
/71F0-
117
82
118
5
11-9
33/1 14/1 33/1
Needs Must landed a win three starts back but has since fallen and finished unplaced, leaving his form hard to read; 178 days off the track adds further uncertainty, though he carries a competitive weight and his rating of 118 keeps him respected here.
AI verdict

SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
Arcland silks
Arcland
Age 10 · 11-8
1-5210
116
102
119
10
11-8
16/1 8/1 16/1
Arcland won two starts back and was second three starts back, showing a consistent profile over today's going, and his 15-day turnaround looks spot on; the main concern is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 38 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Jupiter Du Gite silks
Jupiter Du Gite
Age 7 · 11-8
046-22
116
110
129
7
11-8
5/2 10/3 9/4
Consistent in recent starts, Jupiter Du Gite has finished second in each of his last two outings and has run over today's trip and going, giving him every chance to go one better here; he carries 162 lb but our rating of 129, top of these, makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
In The Minus silks
In The Minus
Age 4 · 11-5
5-5013
116
93
117
4
11-5
12/1 10/1 11/1
Third last time out after winning two starts back, In The Minus arrives on the back of reasonable form and has run over today's going before, though a hefty 159 lb burden and a ranking of sixth from fourteen in the field are the checks on his chance.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Crossing The Bar silks
Crossing The Bar
Age 9 · 11-3
42145/
111
84
119
9
11-3
50/1 20/1 50/1
Crossing The Bar showed a fine turn of foot when winning three starts back, and has experience of today's trip and conditions to back up a rating of 118, making him a genuine danger; the sole concern is whether a 523-day absence leaves him short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Luck Between Us silks
Luck Between Us
Age 6 · 11-3
607-12
111
111
114
6
11-3
5/1 7/2 5/1
Ran well last time out with a second, and a winner two starts back, but that seventh three starts back tempers expectations; has run over today's trip and going, and 157 lb is a stern test for a gelding ranked mid-field here.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Take The Free silks
Take The Free
Age 4 · 11-2
8-621
113
106
113
4
11-2
4/1 3/1 7/2
Ran to winning effect most recently and has going experience to call on, but a lengthy 67-day absence is a notable query and he carries 156 lb against a competitive field; that layoff makes him harder to place with confidence.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Better Times silks
Better Times
Age 6 · 11-1
14U-47
109
85
114
6
11-1
16/1 14/1 16/1
Better Times has experience of today's distance and going, and a win features in his recent starts, but he was last seen finishing seventh and has been off the track for 104 days; 155 lb is no help either.
AI verdict

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Strange Currency silks
Strange Currency
Age 6 · 10-10
7U5-67
104
69
105
6
10-10
33/1 FCST 28/1
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes no better than fifth in recent outings, Strange Currency faces a stiff ask on these figures — ranked 13 of 14 — though he has run over today's going before and returns after a 32-day break carrying 150 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

11
Mr Dibbs silks
Mr Dibbs
Age 7 · 10-7
0P-186
101
86
108
7
10-7
20/1 14/1 20/1
Mr Dibbs won three starts back but has since finished eighth and sixth, and with his trainer yet to strike from 38 attempts in the past fortnight and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, he faces a stiff task despite going experience and a return after just 13 days.
AI verdict

SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Mickey Cohen silks
Mickey Cohen
Age 5 · 10-6
4312-4
100
102
109
5
10-6
12/1 8/1 11/1
Ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and with his trainer in wretched form at 1/32 over the past fortnight, Mickey Cohen is hard to fancy despite a win three starts back; fourth last time out after 61 days off makes the return uncertain too.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Free Flow silks
Free Flow
Age 6 · 10-3
090-64
97
72
110
6
10-3
11/1 18/1 17/2
Free Flow has run over today's going and returns on a quick seven-day turnaround, but he has been winless in his last five starts, his recent efforts including a fourth and a sixth, and our rating of 110 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 97 implies.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Pilgrims Walk silks
Pilgrims Walk
Age 4 · 10-0
080-23
97
101
103
4
10-0
11/2 13/2 5/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last of the 14 on our figures, Pilgrims Walk faces a stiff task under 140 lb, with his trainer in poor form at 1/26 over the past fortnight; experience over today's trip and going offers some small crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ehteyat 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 Bet365
2 Needs Must 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
3 Arcland 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Jupiter Du Gite 5/2 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 Bet365
5 In The Minus 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Crossing The Bar 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Luck Between Us 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
8 Take The Free 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
9 Better Times 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Strange Currency 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
11 Mr Dibbs 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Mickey Cohen 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
13 Free Flow 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 21.00 17/2 open 23.00 11/1 Bet365
14 Pilgrims Walk 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jupiter Du Gite

Live signal

Jupiter Du Gite owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 T Hogan Alan O'Sullivan(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pilgrims Walk

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · P J Rothwell
✓ Value Signal

Needs Must

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Gordon Elliott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Jupiter Du Gite
60.5 5/2
2 14. Pilgrims Walk
59.0 11/2
3 7. Luck Between Us
58.2 5/1
4 8. Take The Free
56.8 4/1
5 12. Mickey Cohen
53.4 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Luck Between Us
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 7 · 11-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 11-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 11-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 4 · 10-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 6 · 10-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 11-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 10-6
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 10 · 11-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 11-1
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 7 · 10-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Luck Between Us
Confidence: Speculative

Luck Between Us (SR:111, 4/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the field and carries only 11-3, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, 11-8) despite near-identical ability scores. The market has shortened 17% since opening — the clearest 'money in' signal in the whole field — and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits. The recent 607-12 form string shows a sharp upswing in form culminating in a win last time, and trainer Donncha Duggan, while a smaller yard, has placed this horse deliberately off a 12lb higher mark suggesting confidence the improvement is genuine. The combination of top SR, favourable weight, proven going preference, and meaningful market support makes this the most compelling multi-signal case. Each-way alternative: Pilgrims Walk. Main danger: Jupiter Du Gite — Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, 10/3) is co-top on ability, has back-to-back placed efforts in the 046-22 form string, carries a favourable MarkMv of -4lb, and at the shortest price in the field represents genuine market confidence that could translate if DistFit:- proves less relevant at this trip than the rating suggests.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+12 means Luck Between Us is running off a mark 12lb higher than last win — a significant jump that may expose the limits of its recent form upswing at this new ceiling.
  • Trainer Donncha Duggan runs at just 8% strike rate from a small yard (89 runners); limited firepower to get a horse spot-on for a competitive handicap at this level.
  • Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, MarkMv:-4) is on a dropping mark and carries identical weight at 11-8 with a more consistent recent form string (046-22 = three placings from last four), representing a live…
  • Form string 607-12 shows the '6' and '0' are very recent poor efforts before the recovery — the last win may be a bounce candidate, and Niall Moore (5lb claimer, 7% strike rate) adds little value in…
Shortlist Luck Between Us, Jupiter Du Gite, Pilgrims Walk, Take The Free
Each-way: Pilgrims Walk Danger: Jupiter Du Gite

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting