Placed twice in his last five starts — third three starts back and second four starts back — Ehteyat rates a serious threat here off a 22-day break, our rating of 123 putting him second of 14; the main concern is that pulled-up latest effort.
Form last 63230-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
74SR123RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Needs Must landed a win three starts back but has since fallen and finished unplaced, leaving his form hard to read; 178 days off the track adds further uncertainty, though he carries a competitive weight and his rating of 118 keeps him respected here.
Form last 6/71F0-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR118RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Arcland won two starts back and was second three starts back, showing a consistent profile over today's going, and his 15-day turnaround looks spot on; the main concern is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 38 attempts over the past fortnight.
Form last 61-5210
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
102SR119RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent in recent starts, Jupiter Du Gite has finished second in each of his last two outings and has run over today's trip and going, giving him every chance to go one better here; he carries 162 lb but our rating of 129, top of these, makes him the one to beat.
Form last 6046-22
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR129RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third last time out after winning two starts back, In The Minus arrives on the back of reasonable form and has run over today's going before, though a hefty 159 lb burden and a ranking of sixth from fourteen in the field are the checks on his chance.
Form last 65-5013
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR117RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crossing The Bar showed a fine turn of foot when winning three starts back, and has experience of today's trip and conditions to back up a rating of 118, making him a genuine danger; the sole concern is whether a 523-day absence leaves him short of peak fitness.
Form last 642145/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR119RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ran well last time out with a second, and a winner two starts back, but that seventh three starts back tempers expectations; has run over today's trip and going, and 157 lb is a stern test for a gelding ranked mid-field here.
Form last 6607-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR114RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ran to winning effect most recently and has going experience to call on, but a lengthy 67-day absence is a notable query and he carries 156 lb against a competitive field; that layoff makes him harder to place with confidence.
Form last 68-621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR113RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Better Times has experience of today's distance and going, and a win features in his recent starts, but he was last seen finishing seventh and has been off the track for 104 days; 155 lb is no help either.
Form last 614U-47
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
85SR114RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes no better than fifth in recent outings, Strange Currency faces a stiff ask on these figures — ranked 13 of 14 — though he has run over today's going before and returns after a 32-day break carrying 150 lb.
Form last 67U5-67
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR105RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Mr Dibbs won three starts back but has since finished eighth and sixth, and with his trainer yet to strike from 38 attempts in the past fortnight and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, he faces a stiff task despite going experience and a return after just 13 days.
Form last 60P-186
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
86SR108RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and with his trainer in wretched form at 1/32 over the past fortnight, Mickey Cohen is hard to fancy despite a win three starts back; fourth last time out after 61 days off makes the return uncertain too.
Form last 64312-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR109RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Free Flow has run over today's going and returns on a quick seven-day turnaround, but he has been winless in his last five starts, his recent efforts including a fourth and a sixth, and our rating of 110 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 97 implies.
Form last 6090-64
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR110RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last of the 14 on our figures, Pilgrims Walk faces a stiff task under 140 lb, with his trainer in poor form at 1/26 over the past fortnight; experience over today's trip and going offers some small crumb of comfort.
Form last 6080-23
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR103RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jupiter Du Gite owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2T HoganAlan O'Sullivan(5)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pilgrims Walk
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · P J Rothwell✓ Value Signal
Needs Must
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Gordon Elliott◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Luck Between Us (SR:111, 4/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the field and carries only 11-3, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, 11-8) despite near-identical ability scores. The market has shortened 17% since opening — the clearest 'money in' signal in the whole field — and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits. The recent 607-12 form string shows a sharp upswing in form culminating in a win last time, and trainer Donncha Duggan, while a smaller yard, has placed this horse deliberately off a 12lb higher mark suggesting confidence the improvement is genuine. The combination of top SR, favourable weight, proven going preference, and meaningful market support makes this the most compelling multi-signal case.
Each-way alternative: Pilgrims Walk.
Main danger: Jupiter Du Gite — Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, 10/3) is co-top on ability, has back-to-back placed efforts in the 046-22 form string, carries a favourable MarkMv of -4lb, and at the shortest price in the field represents genuine market confidence that could translate if DistFit:- proves less relevant at this trip than the rating suggests.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+12 means Luck Between Us is running off a mark 12lb higher than last win — a significant jump that may expose the limits of its recent form upswing at this new ceiling.
Trainer Donncha Duggan runs at just 8% strike rate from a small yard (89 runners); limited firepower to get a horse spot-on for a competitive handicap at this level.
Jupiter Du Gite (SR:110, MarkMv:-4) is on a dropping mark and carries identical weight at 11-8 with a more consistent recent form string (046-22 = three placings from last four), representing a live…
Form string 607-12 shows the '6' and '0' are very recent poor efforts before the recovery — the last win may be a bounce candidate, and Niall Moore (5lb claimer, 7% strike rate) adds little value in…
ShortlistLuck Between Us, Jupiter Du Gite, Pilgrims Walk, Take The Free