← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
She'll Be Kept
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
She'll Be Kept (SR 109, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and her form string 2-0611 shows back-to-back wins most recently, confirming current peak form. She carries 11-6 — lighter than top-weight Cobra Queen (11-12) by 6lb, which is a meaningful advantage at 2m6f on Good ground. DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip well, and trainer Brian McMahon at 6% strike rate is modest, but the market drifting 9% is the main concern — that drift likely reflects the MarkMv:+11 (running off a mark 11lb higher than her last win), which is the single credible threat to her chance. However, no rival combines her SR, proven distance form, and recent winning momentum, making her the logical pick despite the market's reservations. Each-way alternative: Nothing Hectic. Main danger: Nothing Hectic — Nothing Hectic (SR 97, 6/1) has Course:W1P2 at Ballinrobe, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the most complete course-distance-going profile in the field — and her last run was a win (form 1P-771 rightmost = 1), making her the most obvious threat despite carrying a 6lb penalty versus her last win mark.
Full result
Winner: Cobra Queen (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cobra Queen Fox #3 7/1
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2
Run For The Border 10/1
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3
Walkingmayotomilan 8/1
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4
Nothing Hectic Fox #2 7/1
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5
Bossy Bird 12/1
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6
Theflyingbee 4/1
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7
You Make Me Smile Fox #4 9/1
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She'll Be Kept Fox #1 9/2
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Camlin Park 17/2
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Sound Judgement 9/1
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St Anthonys Corner 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
She'll Be Kept 10/3
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2
Nothing Hectic 6/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Cobra Queen 7/1 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
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4
You Make Me Smile 8/1 7TH