Ballinrobe 17:09 RESULTED
11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m6f5y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cobra Queen (IRE) Alan O'Sullivan · Henry De Bromhead
    6/1
  2. 17/2
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cobra Queen silks
Cobra Queen
Age 7 · 11-12
4-P833
118
104
126
7
11-12
7/1 FCST 13/2
Cobra Queen arrives here in solid heart after back-to-back thirds, and with experience of today's trip and going she appeals as the one to beat off 166 lb, though she remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 104 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Theflyingbee silks
Theflyingbee
Age 9 · 11-10
33-225
116
108
125
9
11-10
4/1 5/1 4/1
Theflyingbee has been remarkably consistent, finishing second twice and third twice in her last four starts, and our rating of 124 marks her out as a serious threat here; the main concern is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
She'll Be Kept silks
She'll Be Kept
Age 6 · 11-6
2-0611
112
109
110
6
11-6
9/2 3/1 9/2
She'll Be Kept arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions hold no fears; the main question is whether 160 lb blunts her momentum after 38 days off.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Camlin Park silks
Camlin Park
Age 6 · 11-3
PP-746
109
85
116
6
11-3
17/2 10/1 17/2
Winless in her last five starts, Camlin Park nonetheless catches the eye on going and distance experience, and our rating of 116 suggests she is better than her official mark of 109; the chief concern is a recent string of disappointing efforts, including two pull-ups.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sound Judgement silks
Sound Judgement
Age 6 · 10-13
26-316
105
100
108
6
10-13
9/1 8/1 9/1
Sound Judgement won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing she can mix it at this level, but a sixth last time out after 38 days off raises a fitness query; the 153 lb burden is a stiff ask as she drops back into midfield contention.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Nothing Hectic silks
Nothing Hectic
Age 7 · 10-12
1P-771
104
97
107
7
10-12
7/1 9/2 7/1
Nothing Hectic won last time out and also took a win five starts back, but the two seventh-place finishes and a pulled up in between temper expectations; she has run over today's trip and going, and 152 lb is a stern test of whether she can sustain that recent upturn.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Bossy Bird silks
Bossy Bird
Age 6 · 10-10
8-4258
102
89
107
6
10-10
12/1 9/1 12/1
Bossy Bird shaped with promise when second three starts back, but she has drifted out of the frame in both outings since and remains winless in her last five starts; the 150 lb burden is a further ask, even if she has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Walkingmayotomilan silks
Walkingmayotomilan
Age 5 · 10-9
2P0-01
101
90
91
5
10-9
8/1 7/1 8/1
Walkingmayotomilan won last time out but that single success punctuates a largely disappointing recent record of unplaced runs and a pull-up, and our rating has her a clear last of eleven in this field; she has run over today's distance and going, and the 32-day break at least means she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
You Make Me Smile silks
You Make Me Smile
Age 8 · 10-6
15-323
98
98
102
8
10-6
9/1 17/2 9/1
Consistently placed in her last four starts — third last time out, and a winner five starts back — You Make Me Smile arrives on familiar going after a 36-day break, though 146 lb is a stern burden and an eighth-of-eleven ranking suggests she faces stiffer opposition here.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Run For The Border silks
Run For The Border
Age 6 · 10-3
-32430
95
86
99
6
10-3
10/1 12/1 9/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Run For The Border makes it hard to build a case; that said, she returns quickly on 11 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going before, and her third two starts back shows she can hit the frame.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
St Anthonys Corner silks
St Anthonys Corner
Age 6 · 10-0
/0900-
83
63
96
6
10-0
25/1
Winless in her last four starts and absent for nearly a year, St Anthonys Corner faces a stiff ask here, ranked 10 of 11 on our figures despite carrying 140 lb; experience over today's trip and going offers slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cobra Queen 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
2 Theflyingbee 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
3 She'll Be Kept 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Camlin Park 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Sound Judgement 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 Bet365
6 Nothing Hectic 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
7 Bossy Bird 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Walkingmayotomilan 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Coral
9 You Make Me Smile 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
10 Run For The Border 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 Paddy Power
11 St Anthonys Corner 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

She'll Be Kept

Speculative

She'll Be Kept owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Brian M McMahon Mr E M Nugent(7)
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sound Judgement

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Gordon Elliott
✓ Value Signal

St Anthonys Corner

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Norman Lee
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. She'll Be Kept
58.5 9/2
2 5. Sound Judgement
58.5 9/1
3 2. Theflyingbee
58.3 4/1
4 1. Cobra Queen
55.2 7/1
5 6. Nothing Hectic
55.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
She'll Be Kept
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 9 · 11-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 11-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 10-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 10-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 11-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 10-13
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 8 · 10-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 6 · 10-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 10-10
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
She'll Be Kept
Confidence: Speculative

She'll Be Kept (SR 109, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and her form string 2-0611 shows back-to-back wins most recently, confirming current peak form. She carries 11-6 — lighter than top-weight Cobra Queen (11-12) by 6lb, which is a meaningful advantage at 2m6f on Good ground. DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip well, and trainer Brian McMahon at 6% strike rate is modest, but the market drifting 9% is the main concern — that drift likely reflects the MarkMv:+11 (running off a mark 11lb higher than her last win), which is the single credible threat to her chance. However, no rival combines her SR, proven distance form, and recent winning momentum, making her the logical pick despite the market's reservations. Each-way alternative: Nothing Hectic. Main danger: Nothing Hectic — Nothing Hectic (SR 97, 6/1) has Course:W1P2 at Ballinrobe, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the most complete course-distance-going profile in the field — and her last run was a win (form 1P-771 rightmost = 1), making her the most obvious threat despite carrying a 6lb penalty versus her last win mark.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+11 means she runs off a mark 11lb higher than her last winning mark — a significant handicap rise that makes repeating those back-to-back wins substantially harder in today's company.
  • Trainer Brian McMahon at 6% strike rate is notably poor, and jockey Mr E M Nugent (7lb claimer) offers no market confidence boost in a race where professional pilots dominate the field.
  • Market has drifted out 9% despite her being the obvious form pick — in a competitive handicap hurdle, that level of drift from a horse at 10/3 suggests connections or market professionals have reserv…
  • Form string 2-0611 includes a '0' (pulled up or fell) just three runs ago, indicating she is not without reliability concerns, and 38 days off means she hasn't been tested since that winning run.
Shortlist She'll Be Kept, Nothing Hectic, Cobra Queen, You Make Me Smile
Each-way: Nothing Hectic Danger: Nothing Hectic

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting