Cobra Queen arrives here in solid heart after back-to-back thirds, and with experience of today's trip and going she appeals as the one to beat off 166 lb, though she remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 64-P833
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR126RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Theflyingbee has been remarkably consistent, finishing second twice and third twice in her last four starts, and our rating of 124 marks her out as a serious threat here; the main concern is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 633-225
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
108SR125RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
She'll Be Kept arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions hold no fears; the main question is whether 160 lb blunts her momentum after 38 days off.
Form last 62-0611
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR110RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Camlin Park nonetheless catches the eye on going and distance experience, and our rating of 116 suggests she is better than her official mark of 109; the chief concern is a recent string of disappointing efforts, including two pull-ups.
Form last 6PP-746
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR116RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sound Judgement won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing she can mix it at this level, but a sixth last time out after 38 days off raises a fitness query; the 153 lb burden is a stiff ask as she drops back into midfield contention.
Form last 626-316
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR108RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Nothing Hectic won last time out and also took a win five starts back, but the two seventh-place finishes and a pulled up in between temper expectations; she has run over today's trip and going, and 152 lb is a stern test of whether she can sustain that recent upturn.
Form last 61P-771
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR107RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bossy Bird shaped with promise when second three starts back, but she has drifted out of the frame in both outings since and remains winless in her last five starts; the 150 lb burden is a further ask, even if she has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 68-4258
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR107RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Walkingmayotomilan won last time out but that single success punctuates a largely disappointing recent record of unplaced runs and a pull-up, and our rating has her a clear last of eleven in this field; she has run over today's distance and going, and the 32-day break at least means she arrives fresh.
Form last 62P0-01
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR91RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistently placed in her last four starts — third last time out, and a winner five starts back — You Make Me Smile arrives on familiar going after a 36-day break, though 146 lb is a stern burden and an eighth-of-eleven ranking suggests she faces stiffer opposition here.
Form last 615-323
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Run For The Border makes it hard to build a case; that said, she returns quickly on 11 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going before, and her third two starts back shows she can hit the frame.
Form last 6-32430
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR99RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and absent for nearly a year, St Anthonys Corner faces a stiff ask here, ranked 10 of 11 on our figures despite carrying 140 lb; experience over today's trip and going offers slim encouragement.
Form last 6/0900-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR96RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
She'll Be Kept owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Brian M McMahonMr E M Nugent(7)
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sound Judgement
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · Gordon Elliott✓ Value Signal
St Anthonys Corner
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Norman Lee◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
She'll Be Kept (SR 109, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and her form string 2-0611 shows back-to-back wins most recently, confirming current peak form. She carries 11-6 — lighter than top-weight Cobra Queen (11-12) by 6lb, which is a meaningful advantage at 2m6f on Good ground. DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip well, and trainer Brian McMahon at 6% strike rate is modest, but the market drifting 9% is the main concern — that drift likely reflects the MarkMv:+11 (running off a mark 11lb higher than her last win), which is the single credible threat to her chance. However, no rival combines her SR, proven distance form, and recent winning momentum, making her the logical pick despite the market's reservations.
Each-way alternative: Nothing Hectic.
Main danger: Nothing Hectic — Nothing Hectic (SR 97, 6/1) has Course:W1P2 at Ballinrobe, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the most complete course-distance-going profile in the field — and her last run was a win (form 1P-771 rightmost = 1), making her the most obvious threat despite carrying a 6lb penalty versus her last win mark.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+11 means she runs off a mark 11lb higher than her last winning mark — a significant handicap rise that makes repeating those back-to-back wins substantially harder in today's company.
Trainer Brian McMahon at 6% strike rate is notably poor, and jockey Mr E M Nugent (7lb claimer) offers no market confidence boost in a race where professional pilots dominate the field.
Market has drifted out 9% despite her being the obvious form pick — in a competitive handicap hurdle, that level of drift from a horse at 10/3 suggests connections or market professionals have reserv…
Form string 2-0611 includes a '0' (pulled up or fell) just three runs ago, indicating she is not without reliability concerns, and 38 days off means she hasn't been tested since that winning run.
ShortlistShe'll Be Kept, Nothing Hectic, Cobra Queen, You Make Me Smile