← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Andersons Drainage Serving The South West Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Some Nightmare
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Some Nightmare (SR 64, 10/3) carries the highest ability rating in the field and drops a class with a mark 6lb lower than last win — a favourable combination in a weak Class 6 sprint. The recent form string 337322 shows consistent placing without a break, and course form of W0P2 at Bath confirms track suitability. The market has shortened 13% since opening, signalling stable confidence, and the weight of 8-12 is the lightest competitive burden in the field, giving a clear lbs advantage over Trafalger (9-9) and May Encounter (9-2) despite a SR edge. The one concern is a nine-year-old's ability to sustain peak form, but the class drop and weight relief offset that age flag. Each-way alternative: Trafalger. Main danger: Trafalger — Trafalger (SR 59, 6/1) has steamed in 21% in the market, holds GoingFit:+ for today's good ground — the only runner to do so — and carries course form of W0P2 at Bath, making it the horse most likely to capitalise if Some Nightmare fails to reproduce its best.
Full result
Winner: Macarone (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Macarone 17/2
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2
Trafalger Fox #2 13/2
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3
Some Nightmare Fox #1 3/1
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4
May Encounter Fox #3 3/1
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5
Alshimali 7/1
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6
Rock Master 20/1
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7
Be An Angel 9/2
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8
Ten Club 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Some Nightmare 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Trafalger 6/1 🥈 2ND
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3
May Encounter 7/2 🏁 4TH