Andersons Drainage Serving The South West Handicap Stakes · 5f160y
SR 59 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Trafalger | 13/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Alshimali | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 Coral |
| 3 Be An Angel | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 5/1 Coral |
| 4 May Encounter | 3/1 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ten Club | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Macarone | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Some Nightmare | 3/1 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Rock Master | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Some Nightmare owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 60 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Some Nightmare (SR 64, 10/3) carries the highest ability rating in the field and drops a class with a mark 6lb lower than last win — a favourable combination in a weak Class 6 sprint. The recent form string 337322 shows consistent placing without a break, and course form of W0P2 at Bath confirms track suitability. The market has shortened 13% since opening, signalling stable confidence, and the weight of 8-12 is the lightest competitive burden in the field, giving a clear lbs advantage over Trafalger (9-9) and May Encounter (9-2) despite a SR edge. The one concern is a nine-year-old's ability to sustain peak form, but the class drop and weight relief offset that age flag. Each-way alternative: Trafalger. Main danger: Trafalger — Trafalger (SR 59, 6/1) has steamed in 21% in the market, holds GoingFit:+ for today's good ground — the only runner to do so — and carries course form of W0P2 at Bath, making it the horse most likely to capitalise if Some Nightmare fails to reproduce its best.