← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Shes Got The Blues
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Shes Got The Blues (SR:68, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 11 points clear of the next best — and her form string of 411331 shows she has been consistently competitive at this level, with recent wins confirming she is in the thick of a good run. Carrying 9-11 is the heaviest weight in the field but her SR advantage more than offsets the lbs burden in a Class 6 mile handicap where the going and distance fit are moderate but not prohibitive. Tony Carroll (13% strike rate from over 3,000 runners) is a reliable handler of this type, and jockey Rose Dawes retains the 5lb claim which effectively neutralises the weight. The market has her joint-favourite at 9/2 with no drift signal, consistent with quiet confidence from connections. Each-way alternative: Arvana Belle. Main danger: Nammos — Nammos has steamed in 27% in the market, holds course form (W1P2 at Bath), and is the yard's designated number one runner for the Flint yard — if the money is right, the course familiarity could be decisive even if the SR of 54 lags behind the selection.
Full result
Winner: Green Icon (FR) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Green Icon Fox #4 7/1
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2
Angel's Call 14/1
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3
Shes Got The Blues Fox #1 4/1
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4
Ravenglass 12/1
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5
Arvana Belle Fox #2 5/1
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6
Nammos Fox #3 8/1
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7
The Ormer Gatherer 33/1
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8
A Rose Adaay 17/2
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9
Oh So Audacious 8/1
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10
Medyg 7/1
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11
Neat And Tidy 17/2
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Grand Vista 8/1
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Victorian Rose 66/1
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Hopjes -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Shes Got The Blues 9/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Arvana Belle 9/2 5TH
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3
Nammos 15/2 6TH
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4
Green Icon 15/2 SP 15/8F 🏆 WON