Bath 17:05 RESULTED
Class 6 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m

Official Result

Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Green Icon (FR) Millie Wonnacott · John & Rhys Flint
    15/8F
  2. 12/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Hopjes silks
Hopjes Non-Runner
Age 7 · 9-1
-76635
47
47OR
7
9-1
SP
1
Shes Got The Blues silks
Shes Got The Blues
Age 3 · 9-11
411331
62
68
62
3
9-11
4/1
Shes Got The Blues is in fine heart, having won last time out and scoring three times in her last six starts, and she returns just 11 days later with experience of today's distance and going firmly in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nammos silks
Nammos
Age 6 · 9-7
125546
53
54
62
6
9-7
8/1 10/1 8/1
Nammos shaped with promise when second five starts back and a winner six starts back, and she brings distance and going experience into this having returned just 12 days ago; the weight of 133 lb from stall nine is the main query.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Green Icon silks
Green Icon
Age 4 · 9-6
008073
52
53
57
4
9-6
7/1 12/1 13/2
Green Icon has run over today's distance and going before, and a third last time out suggests he retains some ability — but winless in his last six starts, the pattern of unplaced efforts deeper in that sequence is the risk to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
A Rose Adaay silks
A Rose Adaay
Age 4 · 9-4
533481
50
52
55
4
9-4
17/2 6/1 17/2
Landed a win last time out — a positive note — but the trainer's current 5% strike rate in the last 14 days is a concern, and she was eighth two starts back before that success. Has run over today's trip and going, and carries 130 lb from stall 14.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Angel's Call silks
Angel's Call
Age 5 · 9-4
794136
50
51
54
5
9-4
14/1 16/1 11/1
Third two starts back and a winner three starts back give Angel's Call a solid recent platform, though a sixth last time out clouds his claims; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 130 lb from stall four, and the rating edge over his mark offers modest encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ravenglass silks
Ravenglass
Age 7 · 9-3
762466
49
48
57
7
9-3
12/1 20/1 10/1
Ravenglass has run over today's trip and going before, and 22 days between runs keeps him fresh, but he is winless in his last six starts with a pair of sixths most recently, and 129 lb is a stiff burden for a horse rated 49 officially.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Grand Vista silks
Grand Vista
Age 3 · 9-2
038368
53
53
54
3
9-2
8/1 10/1 8/1
Grand Vista arrives here 17 days fresh and has run over today's trip and going, though he is winless in his last six starts and his latest effort was an eighth-place finish, limiting confidence despite a third three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
The Ormer Gatherer silks
The Ormer Gatherer
Age 7 · 9-1
/1771-
47
25
45
7
9-1
33/1 18/1 33/1
A long absence of 456 days makes The Ormer Gatherer extremely difficult to assess on fitness grounds, and he ranks 12th of 13 on our figures despite winning last time out; he has run over today's trip, and stall two is his draw.
AI verdict

SR 25 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Medyg silks
Medyg
Age 3 · 9-1
4-9896
52
53
58
3
9-1
7/1 9/2 6/1
Medyg arrives here after a fourth five starts back offers encouragement, yet he has been winless in recent starts and that persistent tendency to finish mid-to-lower-division is the key concern despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Oh So Audacious silks
Oh So Audacious
Age 7 · 9-0
849445
46
47
52
7
9-0
8/1 FCST 15/2
Winless in her last six starts, with a string of fourths and worse telling a familiar story, Oh So Audacious is hard to fancy from our figures despite the fitness edge of an 11-day turnaround and experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Neat And Tidy silks
Neat And Tidy
Age 3 · 8-13
9-0554
50
45
53
3
8-13
17/2 15/2 8/1
Neat and Tidy has run over today's trip and returns on a sharp 19-day turnaround, but she remains winless in her last five starts, with a best recent effort of fourth, and carrying 125 lb from stall 12 leaves her with plenty to find at a rating of 50.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Arvana Belle silks
Arvana Belle
Age 3 · 8-10
073542
47
57
51
3
8-10
5/1 7/2 4/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, Arvana Belle looks up against it here, though a second last time out and experience over today's trip and going offer slim grounds for encouragement from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Victorian Rose silks
Victorian Rose
Age 3 · 8-9
800
46
22
37
3
8-9
66/1
Winless in her last three starts, the most recent of which came 69 days ago, Victorian Rose heads into this off a lengthy absence and is ranked last on our figures, making her very hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Hopjes
1 Shes Got The Blues 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Nammos 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
3 Green Icon 7/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
4 A Rose Adaay 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Angel's Call 14/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Ravenglass 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Grand Vista 8/1 open 13.00 10/1 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 10/1 Paddy Power
9 The Ormer Gatherer 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Medyg 7/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 7/1 Bet365
11 Oh So Audacious 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 8/1 8/1 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
12 Neat And Tidy 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
13 Arvana Belle 5/1 open 5.00 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
14 Victorian Rose 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Shes Got The Blues

Speculative

Shes Got The Blues owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Tony Carroll Rose Dawes(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Arvana Belle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Rod Millman
✓ Value Signal

The Ormer Gatherer

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Faye Bramley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Shes Got The Blues
48.3 4/1
2 13. Arvana Belle
46.0 5/1
3 2. Nammos
45.4 8/1
4 10. Medyg
45.1 7/1
5 4. A Rose Adaay
44.5 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Shes Got The Blues
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-11
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-6
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 7 · 9-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 8-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Shes Got The Blues
Confidence: Speculative

Shes Got The Blues (SR:68, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 11 points clear of the next best — and her form string of 411331 shows she has been consistently competitive at this level, with recent wins confirming she is in the thick of a good run. Carrying 9-11 is the heaviest weight in the field but her SR advantage more than offsets the lbs burden in a Class 6 mile handicap where the going and distance fit are moderate but not prohibitive. Tony Carroll (13% strike rate from over 3,000 runners) is a reliable handler of this type, and jockey Rose Dawes retains the 5lb claim which effectively neutralises the weight. The market has her joint-favourite at 9/2 with no drift signal, consistent with quiet confidence from connections. Each-way alternative: Arvana Belle. Main danger: Nammos — Nammos has steamed in 27% in the market, holds course form (W1P2 at Bath), and is the yard's designated number one runner for the Flint yard — if the money is right, the course familiarity could be decisive even if the SR of 54 lags behind the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Mark has risen +7 in latest move, suggesting the handicapper is catching up fast — she runs off a career-high mark of 68, and any slight underperformance gets punished immediately.
  • Joint-favourite at 9/2 yet Arvana Belle (SR:57, 9/2) has a market-implied equal chance despite 11 rating points fewer — Arvana's handlers Rod Millman (13%) and Jack Doughty (13%) pairing is meaningfu…
  • Rose Dawes holds only a 13% strike rate from 253 runners — the 5lb claim is already baked into the 9-11 weight allocation and does not represent a hidden edge; it merely brings her to the weighted pa…
  • Only 11 days since last run and carrying top weight 9-11 on Bath's notoriously undulating mile track, which can expose tiring horses who front-run or lack finishing reserve — her form figures 3,1 sug…
Shortlist Shes Got The Blues, Arvana Belle, Nammos, Green Icon
Each-way: Arvana Belle Danger: Nammos

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade