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Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Pace Attack
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Pace Attack (SR:81, 11/4) is the joint-highest-rated horse in the field and carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders at 9-5, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over James Choice (SR:82, 9-9) and Hebridean Nomad (SR:77, 9-9). The market has shortened 15% since opening — significant stable confidence from Sir Mark Prescott's yard (19% strike rate, 691 runners), with Luke Morris booked (12%, 2,949 runners). Its last-run win at the same class (ClassMv:=) on good-going-compatible conditions (GoingFit:+) confirms current form, and the 76041 sequence shows a horse peaking at the right moment. The MarkMv:+4 is a minor concern but the weight pull over rivals offsets this. Each-way alternative: Hebridean Nomad. Main danger: James Choice — James Choice holds the highest SR in the field at 82 and is trained by Warren Greatrex (14% strike rate) with a yard jockey booking, though the 25% market drift is a concern that must be respected — if the drift reflects a market overshoot rather than a genuine negative, its SR edge over Pace Attack could prove decisive at 1m4f.
Full result
Winner: James Choice (GB) at SP 15/8J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
James Choice Fox #2 9/4
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2
Zarco 13/2
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3
Pace Attack Fox #1 9/4
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4
Hebridean Nomad Fox #3 6/1
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5
Captain Fox 14/1
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6
Affection 33/1
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7
Bankatary 15/2
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8
Wise Counsellor 80/1
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9
White Storm 28/1
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—
Rossa Raheen 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Pace Attack 11/4 🥉 3RD
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2
James Choice 5/2 SP 15/8J 🏆 WON
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3
Hebridean Nomad 13/2 🏁 4TH