Lingfield (AW) 14:13 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes · 1m4f1y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner James Choice (GB) Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex
    15/8J
  2. Second Zarco (GB)
    17/2
  3. 15/8J
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bankatary silks
Bankatary
Age 4 · 10-2
456
74
69
81
4
10-2
15/2 6/1 7/1
Winless in his last three starts, Bankatary arrives here 24 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and a rating of 81 marks him as a live threat at the weights — the risk is that a run of sixth, fifth, and fourth suggests he finds ways to just miss.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Wise Counsellor silks
Wise Counsellor
Age 4 · 9-10
3354-0
68
43
76
4
9-10
80/1 50/1 66/1
SR 43 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
James Choice silks
James Choice
Age 3 · 9-9
43-622
75
82
80
3
9-9
9/4 31/19 2/1
Consistent without a win in recent starts, James Choice has been runner-up twice in his last three outings and arrives here fresh at 26 days, fit and ready; he has run over today's trip and going before, and carrying 135 lb looks manageable for a gelding our figures rate 80.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Hebridean Nomad silks
Hebridean Nomad
Age 5 · 9-9
6-3122
67
77
75
5
9-9
6/1 6/1 11/2
Hebridean Nomad won three starts back and has since posted consecutive runner-up finishes, showing he retains form, though he carries 135 lb and a ranking of seventh from ten suggests he faces stiff opposition here.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Affection silks
Affection
Age 3 · 9-9
711346
75
55
83
3
9-9
33/1 20/1 28/1
Affection shaped with promise when third three starts back and has winning form in recent starts, returning fit on 17 days' rest with experience over today's trip; the risk is that her last two runs have seen her finish sixth and fourth, suggesting she needs to find her best again.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Captain Fox silks
Captain Fox
Age 3 · 9-7
-16557
73
67
82
3
9-7
14/1 8/1 14/1
Landed a win five starts back and returns on going he handles after 24 days off, with our rating of 82 marking him out as a leading threat at the weights; the concern is that he has finished no better than fifth in his last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rossa Raheen silks
Rossa Raheen
Age 3 · 9-7
026416
73
70
74
3
9-7
11/1 7/1 11/1
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures and with a speed rating of 68 well below the likely standard, Rossa Raheen is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and having run over today's trip; sixth last time out does little to inspire.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Pace Attack silks
Pace Attack
Age 3 · 9-5
76041
71
81
76
3
9-5
9/4 9/4 2/1
Pace Attack won last time out and returns in good order on just 12 days' rest, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but his record in recent starts has been inconsistent and a career-high 131 lb will test his resolve.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
White Storm silks
White Storm
Age 3 · 9-4
2567
70
43
64
3
9-4
28/1 14/1 28/1
Winless in his last four starts, with a seventh last time out and a sixth two starts back, White Storm ranks lowest on our figures in this field; experience over today's trip and going, plus a fresh enough 25-day gap, are modest crumbs of comfort for a gelding who makes little appeal at 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

10
Zarco silks
Zarco
Age 3 · 9-0
546-4
66
60
72
3
9-0
13/2 13/2 6/1
Winless in his last four starts, with finishes of fourth, sixth, fourth and fifth, Zarco faces an uphill task here, compounded by a trainer in poor form (1/21 over the past 14 days); experience over today's going is his one genuine foothold.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bankatary 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.00 10/1 William Hill
2 Wise Counsellor 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
3 James Choice 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.63 9/4 Bet365
4 Hebridean Nomad 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
5 Affection 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Captain Fox 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 William Hill
7 Rossa Raheen 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.00 11/1 12/1 Paddy Power
8 Pace Attack 9/4 open 6.00 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 5.00 9/4 Bet365
9 White Storm 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
10 Zarco 13/2 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

James Choice

Speculative

James Choice owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Warren Greatrex Edward Greatrex
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pace Attack

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Sir Mark Prescott Bt
✓ Value Signal

Affection

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · David Pipe
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. James Choice
55.8 9/4
2 8. Pace Attack
55.2 9/4
3 4. Hebridean Nomad
50.7 6/1
4 1. Bankatary
49.5 15/2
5 7. Rossa Raheen
47.4 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pace Attack
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pace Attack
Confidence: Speculative

Pace Attack (SR:81, 11/4) is the joint-highest-rated horse in the field and carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders at 9-5, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over James Choice (SR:82, 9-9) and Hebridean Nomad (SR:77, 9-9). The market has shortened 15% since opening — significant stable confidence from Sir Mark Prescott's yard (19% strike rate, 691 runners), with Luke Morris booked (12%, 2,949 runners). Its last-run win at the same class (ClassMv:=) on good-going-compatible conditions (GoingFit:+) confirms current form, and the 76041 sequence shows a horse peaking at the right moment. The MarkMv:+4 is a minor concern but the weight pull over rivals offsets this. Each-way alternative: Hebridean Nomad. Main danger: James Choice — James Choice holds the highest SR in the field at 82 and is trained by Warren Greatrex (14% strike rate) with a yard jockey booking, though the 25% market drift is a concern that must be respected — if the drift reflects a market overshoot rather than a genuine negative, its SR edge over Pace Attack could prove decisive at 1m4f.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Pace Attack carries a MarkMv:+4, meaning the handicapper has raised its mark after last win — it must now perform 4lbs better than when it last won to repeat, compressing the weight advantage over ri…
  • James Choice (SR:82) is the joint-top-rated horse on a mark of 82 versus Pace Attack's 81, has been freshened 26 days, and at 5/2 has drifted 25% in the market — yet still commands shorter SR with le…
  • HG:p flag on Pace Attack suggests headgear (likely a hood or cheekpieces) is in play; if this is a first-time application it introduces behavioural uncertainty on a sharp Lingfield AW track where set…
  • Hebridean Nomad (W1P4 at this course) has a strong course record at Lingfield AW specifically, runs off the same revised mark (+4) but with proven track affinity that Pace Attack's form does not expl…
Shortlist Pace Attack, James Choice, Hebridean Nomad
Each-way: Hebridean Nomad Danger: James Choice

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m4f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade