← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Peterhead Fish Market Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Black Storm
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Black Storm (SR:78, 5/2, 10-0) leads the field on ability and has the most progressive recent form — a 1 last time out followed by a sequence of 3-3-1 represents consistent upward momentum at this class level. While carrying top-weight at 10-0, the SR advantage over the next-best Masaban (SR:77, 9-9) is marginal, but the weight differential is only 5lb in Masaban's favour, which doesn't overcome the form edge. Jason Hart (14%, 2623 career runs) is a reliable booking, and Course:W0P2 shows familiarity with Musselburgh. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are moderate rather than negative, and the flat-footed MarkMv:+4 is manageable given the visible improvement in form. Each-way alternative: Masaban. Main danger: Masaban — Masaban (SR:77, 7/2) has a proven GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, carries 5lb less than Black Storm, is trained by Edward Bethell (18% strike rate — the strongest trainer in the field), and MarkMv:+9 is the only concern, though his 3-year-old weight allowance and ability to handle the going make him the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: Masaban (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Masaban Fox #2 4/1
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2
Carolus Magnus 6/1
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3
Monhammer 14/1
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4
Vince Le Prince Fox #3 11/2
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5
Black Storm Fox #1 9/4
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6
Jesmond Dawn 12/1
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7
Keep Me Stable 14/1
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8
Pickersgill 20/1
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9
Coconut Bay 16/1
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10
Elizabetty 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3