Musselburgh 18:20 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September Peterhead Fish Market Handicap Stakes

Peterhead Fish Market Handicap Stakes · 0m7f15y

Official Result

Peterhead Fish Market Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Masaban (IRE) Sam James · Edward Bethell
    7/2
  2. 7/1
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Black Storm silks
Black Storm
Age 5 · 10-0
425331
70
78
78
5
10-0
9/4 5/2 9/4
Black Storm won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving him a strong hand from stall eight off 140 lb; confirming that win is the main question.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Jesmond Dawn silks
Jesmond Dawn
Age 5 · 9-11
351506
67
62
71
5
9-11
12/1 10/1 11/1
Jesmond Dawn won four starts back but has managed only a fifth and sixth since, and consistency remains the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 137 lb from stall two, and the seven-day turnaround suggests he is fit enough to make his presence felt.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Pickersgill silks
Pickersgill
Age 4 · 9-11
272839
67
46
70
4
9-11
20/1 14/1 20/1
Pickersgill has run over today's trip and going, and a third two starts back shows she can find the frame, but a ninth last time out is harder to ignore, and 137 lb from stall ten makes life no easier for a filly yet to win in her last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

4
Carolus Magnus silks
Carolus Magnus
Age 8 · 9-10
-26128
66
69
72
8
9-10
6/1 5/1 11/2
Carolus Magnus ran a fine second two starts back and was a winner three starts back, showing he retains ability, and he has experience over today's trip and going; the worry is that eighth last time out leaves him needing to bounce back sharply.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Masaban silks
Masaban
Age 3 · 9-9
613523
69
77
77
3
9-9
4/1 3/1 7/2
Masaban shaped with plenty of credit when third last time out and second two starts back, and 35 days between runs leaves him fresh for this test; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 135 lb from stall four is the hand he plays.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Vince Le Prince silks
Vince Le Prince
Age 6 · 9-8
302033
64
72
73
6
9-8
11/2 6/1 5/1
Vince Le Prince is a consistent threat, finishing third last time out and third two starts back, with a second four starts back to his name, and he has run over today's distance and going before; the concern is that he remains yet to score in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Elizabetty silks
Elizabetty
Age 3 · 9-7
-71390
67
56
69
3
9-7
18/1 10/1 18/1
Elizabetty boasts a win in her last five starts and has run over today's trip and going, but two unplaced efforts in recent starts and a trainer firing at just 4% dampen confidence, while 162 days off the track adds further uncertainty.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Keep Me Stable silks
Keep Me Stable
Age 6 · 9-1
708237
57
52
59
6
9-1
14/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Keep Me Stable is hard to fancy despite the return to familiar distance and going conditions; third and second in recent starts show she can hit the frame, but consistency remains elusive.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Monhammer silks
Monhammer
Age 8 · 8-13
246116
55
57
60
8
8-13
14/1 11/1 14/1
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures and rated a lowly 55 officially, Monhammer is hard to fancy after finishing sixth last time out, though he has won twice in his last six starts and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Coconut Bay silks
Coconut Bay
Age 7 · 8-11
074329
53
51
60
7
8-11
16/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Coconut Bay is hard to fancy, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a second two starts back offers some crumb of form.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Black Storm 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
2 Jesmond Dawn 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
3 Pickersgill 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
4 Carolus Magnus 6/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
5 Masaban 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
6 Vince Le Prince 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
7 Elizabetty 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Paddy Power
8 Keep Me Stable 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
9 Monhammer 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Coconut Bay 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 18/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Black Storm

Speculative

Black Storm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Katie Scott Jason Hart
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Masaban

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Elizabetty

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Brian Ellison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Black Storm
54.7 9/4
2 5. Masaban
48.5 4/1
3 4. Carolus Magnus
48.5 6/1
4 6. Vince Le Prince
46.5 11/2
5 2. Jesmond Dawn
42.2 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Black Storm
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 9-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 8-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 8-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Black Storm
Confidence: Speculative

Black Storm (SR:78, 5/2, 10-0) leads the field on ability and has the most progressive recent form — a 1 last time out followed by a sequence of 3-3-1 represents consistent upward momentum at this class level. While carrying top-weight at 10-0, the SR advantage over the next-best Masaban (SR:77, 9-9) is marginal, but the weight differential is only 5lb in Masaban's favour, which doesn't overcome the form edge. Jason Hart (14%, 2623 career runs) is a reliable booking, and Course:W0P2 shows familiarity with Musselburgh. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are moderate rather than negative, and the flat-footed MarkMv:+4 is manageable given the visible improvement in form. Each-way alternative: Masaban. Main danger: Masaban — Masaban (SR:77, 7/2) has a proven GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, carries 5lb less than Black Storm, is trained by Edward Bethell (18% strike rate — the strongest trainer in the field), and MarkMv:+9 is the only concern, though his 3-year-old weight allowance and ability to handle the going make him the most credible threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Katie Scott's 10% trainer strike rate (442 runs) is modest, and she has no course wins at Musselburgh — W0P2 means two placed efforts but no victory here, raising a flag about converting.
  • MarkMv:+4 means the handicapper has raised Black Storm 4lb since last win — now anchored at top-weight 10-0, while Masaban (SR:77) runs off 9-9 having been raised only +9 suggesting the handicapper s…
  • Masaban is a 3yo receiving age/weight allowance at 9-9 vs Black Storm's 10-0 — the 5lb weight advantage combined with Edward Bethell's 18% strike rate (well above Hart/Scott pairing) makes Masaban a…
  • DistFit and GoingFit both marked '~' (moderate) means today's conditions are not confirmed as in Black Storm's favour — if ground has shifted from recent outings, the top-weight burden at 10-0 amplif…
Shortlist Black Storm, Masaban, Vince Le Prince
Each-way: Masaban Danger: Masaban

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade