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Lothian Supply Company Handicap Stakes

19:20 Musselburgh Sat 12 Sep 2026 0m5f1y Class 6 Good 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Royal Duke silks

Royal Duke

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Royal Duke (SR:63, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR margin — 7 points clear of the next-best Falcon Queen and So Grateful at SR:56. The 51% market support since opening is the strongest steaming signal in the race and represents genuine informed confidence. Course form of W2P5 at Musselburgh confirms he handles this track, and GoingFit:~ shows he's not inconvenienced by good ground. The weight of 9-4 is competitive — lighter than Supremissy and Wrestling Revenue — and R Mike Smith's yard has three runners here with Royal Duke clearly the #1 booking (experienced 5lb claimer Horgan has a solid 5% strike rate but more importantly the market has moved 51% inward, suggesting strong yard confidence). Running off a mark 4lb higher than last win is a modest negative, but the SR advantage and market move override this concern. Each-way alternative: Falcon Queen. Main danger: Falcon Queen — Falcon Queen (SR:56, 8/1) is the stablemate to Royal Duke and has steamed 48% in the market — almost as dramatic a move as Royal Duke's 51% — suggesting R Mike Smith's yard is firing on both horses, and if Royal Duke underperforms for any reason Falcon Queen at a bigger price represents the yard's backup runner.

Verify· #17496

Full result

Winner: Fear And Fast (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Fear And Fast silks Fear And Fast Jim Goldie · Sam James 10/1
  2. 2 Ski Angel silks Ski Angel Fox #4 R Mike Smith · Rowan Scott 9/2
  3. 3 Royal Duke silks Royal Duke Fox #1 R Mike Smith · Cian Horgan(5) 5/2
  4. 4 So Grateful silks So Grateful Fox #3 Michael & David Easterby · Billy Garritty 17/2
  5. 5 Wrestling Revenue silks Wrestling Revenue Ben Haslam · Jason Hart 7/1
  6. 6 Sixcor silks Sixcor Linda Perratt · Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) 12/1
  7. 7 Falcon Queen silks Falcon Queen Fox #2 R Mike Smith · Shay Farmer(5) 6/1
  8. 8 Doralee silks Doralee David & Nicola Barron · David Nolan 12/1
  9. 9 Supremissy silks Supremissy Iain Jardine · Greg Fairley 10/1
  10. 10 With Glory silks With Glory Linda Perratt · William Pyle 40/1
  11. 11 Moretons silks Moretons Simon Waugh · Amie Waugh(3) 33/1
  12. — Gwen Tennyson silks Gwen Tennyson Gemma Tutty · Jake Dickson(5) 9/1
  13. — Hard Nut silks Hard Nut Linda Perratt · Alex Jary(3) 66/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Royal Duke silks Royal Duke 9/4 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Falcon Queen silks Falcon Queen 8/1 7TH
  3. 3 So Grateful silks So Grateful 8/1 🏁 4TH
  4. 4 Ski Angel silks Ski Angel 6/1 🥈 2ND