Lothian Supply Company Handicap Stakes · 0m5f1y
SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Supremissy | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Wrestling Revenue | 7/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 3 With Glory | 40/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Doralee | 12/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Falcon Queen | 6/1 open 21.00 | 13/2 open 15.00 | 6/1 open 17.00 | 6/1 open 17.00 | 6/1 open 21.00 | 11/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 So Grateful | 17/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Sixcor | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Royal Duke | 5/2 open 8.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 5/2 open 8.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Moretons | 33/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Gwen Tennyson | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Ski Angel | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 William Hill |
| 12 Fear And Fast | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Hard Nut | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Royal Duke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Royal Duke (SR:63, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR margin — 7 points clear of the next-best Falcon Queen and So Grateful at SR:56. The 51% market support since opening is the strongest steaming signal in the race and represents genuine informed confidence. Course form of W2P5 at Musselburgh confirms he handles this track, and GoingFit:~ shows he's not inconvenienced by good ground. The weight of 9-4 is competitive — lighter than Supremissy and Wrestling Revenue — and R Mike Smith's yard has three runners here with Royal Duke clearly the #1 booking (experienced 5lb claimer Horgan has a solid 5% strike rate but more importantly the market has moved 51% inward, suggesting strong yard confidence). Running off a mark 4lb higher than last win is a modest negative, but the SR advantage and market move override this concern. Each-way alternative: Falcon Queen. Main danger: Falcon Queen — Falcon Queen (SR:56, 8/1) is the stablemate to Royal Duke and has steamed 48% in the market — almost as dramatic a move as Royal Duke's 51% — suggesting R Mike Smith's yard is firing on both horses, and if Royal Duke underperforms for any reason Falcon Queen at a bigger price represents the yard's backup runner.