Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap

14:10 Leopardstown Sat 12 Sep 2026 0m7f0y Good 21 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Collecting Coin

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 22%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Collecting Coin (SR:93, 13/2, 9-2) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a favourable lightweight assignment relative to the top-weights carrying 9-12, a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a market that has shortened 13% since opening — meaningful support in a 20-runner field. The last-run '2' shows a recent winning or placing effort and the form string '430612' reveals a runner coming to hand at the right time. Trainer Jennie Candlish runs at 17% career strike rate (841 runners), one of the stronger yards represented, and W J Lee at 15% is a solid booking. The 3lb-lighter assignment versus the top-weights carrying 9-12 is a material edge on good ground at 7f. Each-way alternative: Gleneagle Bay. Main danger: Vafortino — Vafortino (SR:94, the highest in the field, 11/2, MarkMv:-7 meaning a mark 7lb lower than last win) carries only 9-12 and has course form (W1P1) — the combination of a big mark drop and course familiarity makes him the most obvious alternative winner despite only moderate distance and going fit ratings.

Verify· #17351

Full result

Winner: Krasimir (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.