Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap · 0m7f0y
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
SR 72 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Tokenomics | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 Andab | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Excellent Believe | 8/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Vafortino | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Benevento | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 10/1 William Hill |
| 6 Dorset | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Fort Vega | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 8 Gleneagle Bay | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Mirsky | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 William Hill |
| 10 Rahmi | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 11 L L Koulsty | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 12 Sindagan | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Collecting Coin | 6/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Carnival Of Light | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Victory Tip | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 16 Booyea | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 17 Howd'yadoit | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Krasimir | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 19 Oro Blanco | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 20 Temperance | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 Dark Viper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Vafortino owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 87 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Collecting Coin (SR:93, 13/2, 9-2) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a favourable lightweight assignment relative to the top-weights carrying 9-12, a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a market that has shortened 13% since opening — meaningful support in a 20-runner field. The last-run '2' shows a recent winning or placing effort and the form string '430612' reveals a runner coming to hand at the right time. Trainer Jennie Candlish runs at 17% career strike rate (841 runners), one of the stronger yards represented, and W J Lee at 15% is a solid booking. The 3lb-lighter assignment versus the top-weights carrying 9-12 is a material edge on good ground at 7f. Each-way alternative: Gleneagle Bay. Main danger: Vafortino — Vafortino (SR:94, the highest in the field, 11/2, MarkMv:-7 meaning a mark 7lb lower than last win) carries only 9-12 and has course form (W1P1) — the combination of a big mark drop and course familiarity makes him the most obvious alternative winner despite only moderate distance and going fit ratings.