← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
World Pool Bet With Tote Autumn Fillies Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Rebel Wave
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 SP 7/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Rebel Wave (SR:90, 11/2) is the field's second-highest SR and arrives on the back of a sharp 5-6-2-1-1 form sequence — two consecutive wins — confirming peak form. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ mean both today's mile trip and good ground are confirmed positives, and carrying just 8-10 gives a significant weight advantage over top-rated Suzie Songs (9-12) and Aviatrice (9-9). The McCreery yard runs Bella Colombia as a clear second string (lower SR, drifting, beaten Stable:1 flag), confirming Rebel Wave is the yard's #1 hope. The market drift of 22% is the main concern, but with MarkMv:+3 (only marginally higher than last win mark), the handicapper has not punished these back-to-back wins harshly enough to negate the SR and weight edge. Each-way alternative: Aviatrice. Main danger: Suzie Songs — Suzie Songs (SR:99, the field's top-rated runner) has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ and Colin Keane aboard — the drift of 16% is notable but the SR advantage over all rivals is real and a return to form after a 7-0-4-1-1 sequence including two recent wins makes her the biggest threat to Rebel Wave.
Full result
Winner: Rebel Wave (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rebel Wave Fox #1 6/1
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2
Chica Guerrera 20/1
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3
Killashee Warrior Fox #4 7/1
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4
Suzie Songs Fox #2 13/2
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5
Mayflower 18/1
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6
Pink Oxalis 11/1
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7
Mallavelly 18/1
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8
Aviatrice Fox #3 9/2
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9
Bella Colombia 16/1
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10
Drop Dead Gorgeous 11/1
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11
Anvika 16/1
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12
Blue Blue Moon 10/1
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13
Marmeladova 33/1
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14
Thrifty Of Digby 11/1
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15
Guardian Of Realm 50/1
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16
Tachos 14/1
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17
Tahcawin 28/1
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18
Quebec 12/1
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—
Electric Beauty 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rebel Wave 11/2 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
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2
Suzie Songs 6/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Aviatrice 6/1 8TH
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4
Killashee Warrior 11/1 🥉 3RD