← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Loud Hire Staging Hire Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Boilermaker
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 11/8F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Boilermaker (SR 84, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin — SR 84 versus SR 73 for The Craftymaster and SR 72 for Belle Of Kt — and arrives on the back of a sharp 1-2-3-2-1-1 form string, showing consistent progression into a last-time winner. At only 3 years old stepping up to 1m6f, the distance is unproven (DistFit:?) but the trend of his form through middle distances suggests stamina is not an issue, and trainer Harry Charlton operates at a 16% strike rate — the strongest in this field — with Luke Morris booked. Carrying a favourable 9-3 versus the heavier burdens on Taritino (9-12) and Belle Of Kt (9-7), the weight advantage compounds his SR superiority. The class rise of three tiers (ClassMv:↑3) is the one genuine concern, though his SR dwarfs the rest of the field and the going (Good, GoingFit:+) directly suits him. Each-way alternative: Belle Of Kt. Main danger: Belle Of Kt — Belle Of Kt (SR 72, 7/2) carries confirmed course-and-distance form (W1P1, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), is the market's second choice at 7/2, and arrives on a red-hot 3-1-1-1-1-3 form sequence — four wins from her last five completed starts — meaning if the class rise (↑4) doesn't blunt her, she has the course-and-distance credentials to overhaul Boilermaker.
Full result
Winner: Boilermaker (FR) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Boilermaker Fox #1 2/1
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2
The Craftymaster Fox #3 7/1
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3
Percy Jones 22/1
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4
Taritino Fox #4 10/1
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5
Fair Dinkum 14/1
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6
Curran 18/1
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7
Noble Grace 22/1
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8
Buck Barrow 40/1
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9
Two Plus Two 12/1
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10
Belle Of Kt Fox #2 9/2
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11
Virtual Hug 40/1
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12
Lusaka 8/1
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Basilette 15/2
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Corsican Caper -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Boilermaker 9/4 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Belle Of Kt 7/2 10TH
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3
The Craftymaster 13/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Taritino 10/1 🏁 4TH