Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Corsican Caper is hard to fancy, though 92 days off may have freshened him and he has run over today's distance and going before.
Taritino shaped with promise when winning two of his last six starts, and a rating of 81 has him ranked top of this field; with experience over today's trip and going, he arrives fit on just 15 days' rest. The concern is that sixth last time out leaves him needing to bounce back sharply.
Form last 6211446
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR81RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Belle Of Kt arrives on the back of a third last time out, though her recent record boasts four wins in her last six starts, including back-to-back victories before that. She has run over today's distance and going, but a weight of 133 lb and our rating sitting below her official mark may count against her here.
Form last 6311113
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR63RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Percy Jones shaped well when second last time out and has run over today's distance and going before, with a rating of 74 giving him strong claims; the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts and must convert his placed effort into something more decisive.
Form last 6836442
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Boilermaker arrives in fine fettle after back-to-back wins, has run over today's trip and going, and his 129 lb burden is the one factor that could temper his momentum.
Form last 6423211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR75RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lusaka arrives here in solid recent nick, with a second last time out and third two starts back, though he remains winless in his last six starts and his ranking of sixth in the field suggests he faces stiffer competition on the way to reversing that trend.
Form last 6824432
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last six starts, Fair Dinkum does offer some encouragement — third two starts back and second four starts back show he can get competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going before; 126 lb and a mid-field ranking give him plenty to overcome, though.
Form last 6852434
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR68RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Two Plus Two has experience over today's trip and going, and his second last time out shows he can threaten, but a lone win in his last six starts — coming five starts back — and a ranking of eleventh of fourteen on our figures make him hard to fancy at this level.
Form last 6414242
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR61RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Noble Grace showed a smart turn of form when winning one start back, though a third last time out is the best she has managed since, and her speed rating of 58 leaves her with plenty to find on the figures against the top-rated runners here.
Form last 647413
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
37SR61RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Second last time out, but a winner two starts back, The Craftymaster arrives on a sharp 18-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, though his official rating of 59 sits well below our assessment of 71, hinting he may need to prove himself at this level.
Form last 6512112
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR71RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Basilette has found her form well of late, placing second twice in her last two starts, though a sixth three starts back shows she can disappoint; her sole recent win came five starts back, and she returns quickly on 11 days' rest with distance and going experience to call on.
Form last 6313622
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR61RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Virtual Hug has managed just one win in his last six starts, finishing sixth last time out and fourth on his two previous outings, and our rating ranks him thirteenth of fourteen here, making him hard to fancy; he does at least return within a reasonable 23 days and has experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6413446
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR58RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Buck Barrow is hard to fancy at this level despite a third last time out and experience over today's trip and going; his sole recent win came five starts back, and he has been placed twice in between without truly threatening.
Form last 6713353
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
34SR58RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Boilermaker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Harry CharltonLuke Morris
79%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
The Craftymaster
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
Virtual Hug
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Nikki Evans◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Boilermaker (SR 84, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin — SR 84 versus SR 73 for The Craftymaster and SR 72 for Belle Of Kt — and arrives on the back of a sharp 1-2-3-2-1-1 form string, showing consistent progression into a last-time winner. At only 3 years old stepping up to 1m6f, the distance is unproven (DistFit:?) but the trend of his form through middle distances suggests stamina is not an issue, and trainer Harry Charlton operates at a 16% strike rate — the strongest in this field — with Luke Morris booked. Carrying a favourable 9-3 versus the heavier burdens on Taritino (9-12) and Belle Of Kt (9-7), the weight advantage compounds his SR superiority. The class rise of three tiers (ClassMv:↑3) is the one genuine concern, though his SR dwarfs the rest of the field and the going (Good, GoingFit:+) directly suits him.
Each-way alternative: Belle Of Kt.
Main danger: Belle Of Kt — Belle Of Kt (SR 72, 7/2) carries confirmed course-and-distance form (W1P1, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), is the market's second choice at 7/2, and arrives on a red-hot 3-1-1-1-1-3 form sequence — four wins from her last five completed starts — meaning if the class rise (↑4) doesn't blunt her, she has the course-and-distance credentials to overhaul Boilermaker.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Three-tier class rise (ClassMv:↑3) is steep for a 3yo stepping into a deeper handicap — no course form and no indication he has faced this calibre of opposition before.
Distance unproven at 1m6f (DistFit:?): his form has been built over shorter trips and jumping up to this stamina test at Bath's gruelling uphill finish is a significant unknown for a lightly-raced 3y…
No headgear flag, no course win, and no market support signal (no 'Mkt:in' entry) despite being favourite — The Craftymaster is drifting in at 13/2 with a tighter market move, suggesting professional…
Belle Of Kt's form string 311113 shows a hat-trick of wins in progress, she has a course win, and her trainer J S Moore's 7% strike rate is offset by apprentice Millie Wonnacott's 11% — a live each-w…
ShortlistBoilermaker, Belle Of Kt, The Craftymaster, Taritino