← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Loud Hire Sound And Lighting Hire Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Outer Edge
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Outer Edge (SR:56, 5/1) has steamed in 32% from opening price — the most significant market move in the field — and carries only 9-1, a clear weight advantage over the top-weights at 9-11. The MarkMv:-8 indicates a mark 8lb below last win, the most favourable handicap position in the race. Trainer Christopher Mason hits 18% strike rate across 324 runners, the best trainer stat in the field. While GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns, those flags are shared by nearly every runner in this race, so they reduce to a neutral factor rather than a disqualifying one — the strong market move and favourable mark are the differentiators. Each-way alternative: Symbol Of Hope. Main danger: Jackie Brown — Jackie Brown (SR:60, 6/1) is one of the highest-rated horses in the field, has steamed in 31%, carries 9-1 with a MarkMv:-1, Course:W1P1 at Bath, and jockey Finley Marsh hits a solid 14% career strike rate — multiple positive signals that make this a genuine threat to the selection.
Full result
Winner: Macanudo (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Macanudo 4/1
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2
Wedgewood 12/1
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3
Princess Of Limnos 80/1
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4
Outer Edge Fox #1 9/2
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5
Spirited Dancer Fox #4 11/2
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6
Recon Mission 5/1
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7
It's A Mugs Game 50/1
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8
Symbol Of Hope Fox #3 6/1
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9
Jackie Brown Fox #2 13/2
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10
Ken Brulee 9/1
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11
Ten Cuidado 16/1
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12
Bluesy Moon 100/1
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13
Lochaber 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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3
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4