Macanudo arrives here on the back of a win last time out and a third three starts back, showing he can perform at this level; he has run over today's trip and going, rates highest of the 13 runners, and from draw 4 he looks the one to beat off 137 lb.
Form last 67-0371
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR59RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Recon Mission ran out a winner eleven days ago and arrives here in cracking nick, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; the chief concern is whether 137 lb from stall one will blunt that recent momentum.
Form last 6665331
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
60SR58RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ken Brulee won two starts back but has shown inconsistency either side of it, finishing fifth last time out and out of the frame in three of his last six starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, though his official rating of 54 and a weight of 133 lb make life testing.
Form last 6743615
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR49RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, Ten Cuidado arrives on a quick turnaround of just 11 days carrying 130 lb from stall 12, though he remains winless in his last five starts and that inconsistency is a concern.
Form last 670-063
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR51RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with a seventh last time out and a sixth three starts back among the better efforts, It's A Mugs Game ranks 11th of 13 on our figures and carries 129 lb from stall 10, making him very hard to fancy here.
Form last 60-4687
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR45RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Outer Edge has been winless in his last five starts but has shown enough consistency to keep the door ajar, finishing third last time out after a run of mid-pack efforts; he has experience of today's distance and going, and 127 lb from stall nine is the key query.
Form last 64-5453
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Spirited Dancer has shown a clear knack for hitting the frame, second last time out and a second four starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going is a genuine asset carrying 127 lb from stall 7; the risk is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6522862
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR57RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Showed a smart turn of foot when winning three starts back, but her last two outings have brought a sixth and seventh, so she heads here needing to rediscover that form; experience over today's trip and going helps, and eleven days between runs suggests she is fit enough to go close if returning to her best.
Form last 6532167
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
60SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wedgewood showed real ability when winning and filling the runner-up spot twice in recent starts, and she returns on a quick turnaround of just 11 days with experience of both today's trip and going in her favour; the risk is that her last three runs have yielded three finishes out of the frame.
Form last 6122668
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR52RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Symbol Of Hope faces a stiff ask, though third last time out and a return to familiar distance and going conditions offer slim crumbs of comfort against a trainer firing at just five per cent recently.
Form last 6843273
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
56SR47RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Lochaber has run over today's trip and going, and at 12 days fresh he arrives in reasonable order, though his official mark of 41 and a ranking of ninth of thirteen suggest he faces a stiff task breaking that duck here.
Form last 6684-55
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR48RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Bluesy Moon has been winless in her last five starts, finishing no better than seventh in recent outings, and her rating of 35 — lowest in this field of thirteen — makes her very hard to fancy; experience over today's trip and going is the one slim positive.
Form last 6790-97
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
17SR35RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Princess Of Limnos is hard to fancy, though a third two starts back and experience over today's trip offer slim encouragement after 45 days off.
Form last 609-37
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
24SR43RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Recon Mission owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Tony CarrollLuke Morris
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Macanudo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Ian Williams✓ Value Signal
Princess Of Limnos
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Tony Carroll◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Outer Edge (SR:56, 5/1) has steamed in 32% from opening price — the most significant market move in the field — and carries only 9-1, a clear weight advantage over the top-weights at 9-11. The MarkMv:-8 indicates a mark 8lb below last win, the most favourable handicap position in the race. Trainer Christopher Mason hits 18% strike rate across 324 runners, the best trainer stat in the field. While GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns, those flags are shared by nearly every runner in this race, so they reduce to a neutral factor rather than a disqualifying one — the strong market move and favourable mark are the differentiators.
Each-way alternative: Symbol Of Hope.
Main danger: Jackie Brown — Jackie Brown (SR:60, 6/1) is one of the highest-rated horses in the field, has steamed in 31%, carries 9-1 with a MarkMv:-1, Course:W1P1 at Bath, and jockey Finley Marsh hits a solid 14% career strike rate — multiple positive signals that make this a genuine threat to the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Outer Edge's recent form reads 4-5453 — no win in this sequence and finishing 4th or worse in last four starts, suggesting the -8 mark hasn't yet translated into a win despite presumably running at o…
SR:56 is the joint-lowest among the market fancies; Jackie Brown (SR:60, also 9-1 weight, Mkt:in31%) and Symbol Of Hope (SR:56, 9-0, Course:W7P18, Mkt:in20%) offer comparable or stronger profiles at…
Jockey Gina Mangan's 12% strike rate from 872 rides is unremarkable, and Christopher Mason's 18% trainer stat comes from only 324 runners — a smaller sample that may flatter; no course win or place n…
Symbol Of Hope carries 1lb less, has won 7 times at this course (W7P18) and is also moving in the market (in20%), making it a sharper course specialist at a lower weight for any punter chasing the ma…
ShortlistOuter Edge, Jackie Brown, Symbol Of Hope, Spirited Dancer