← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Land Of Lights Festival At Gullivers Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ancient State
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 SP 9/2F Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Ancient State (SR:89, 15/2, 9-7) combines the strongest multi-signal case in the field: DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven effectiveness at today's trip and going, a recent form line of 511552 shows consistent competitiveness including multiple wins, and crucially the market has steamed in 41% — the sharpest move in the entire field — suggesting informed money is very confident despite the step up in class. Callum Rodriguez's 19% strike rate on 1,306 rides is the best jockey booking in this race. The class rise (↑1) is the one concern, and the mark is 7lb higher than last win, but the weight (9-7) is lighter than the top four and the going/distance fit offsets the class jump convincingly. Each-way alternative: Maelstrom. Main danger: Maelstrom — Maelstrom (SR:92, 13/2, 9-6) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries a light weight relative to ability, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed, and back-to-form figures of 8511 show two recent wins — only a slight drift (Mkt:out6%) and Jack Dace's modest 10% strike rate give pause.
Full result
Winner: Ancient State (IRE) at SP 9/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Ancient State Fox #1 6/1
-
2
Adrestia Fox #4 11/2
-
3
Hypnotised Fox #3 9/2
-
4
The Man 6/1
-
5
Venture Capital 12/1
-
6
Paddy's Day 50/1
-
7
Maelstrom Fox #2 7/1
-
8
Equity Law 25/1
-
9
Jer Batt 9/1
-
10
Changeofmind 40/1
-
11
Fortification 10/1
-
12
Wheels Of Fire 16/1
-
13
Henrythenate 50/1
-
14
Novello Lad 40/1
-
15
Canon's House 12/1
-
16
Novelette 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Ancient State 15/2 SP 9/2F 🏆 WON
-
2
Maelstrom 13/2 7TH
-
3
Hypnotised 9/2 🥉 3RD
-
4
Adrestia 11/2 🥈 2ND