← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred Mallard Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Valedictory
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 SP 7/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Valedictory (SR 109, 3/1) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin over the next-best Say What You See (SR 101). Crucially, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this horse is proven at today's trip and today's going — the two most critical fitness overlays for a 1m6f handicap on good ground. The Gosden yard runs at 24% career strike rate and Robert Havlin is a reliable stable jockey. Carrying 9-5 is the joint-heaviest in the field but the SR advantage more than compensates, and the visor suggests connections are intent on winning today rather than schooling. A MarkMv:+3 since last win is a modest rise and should not be prohibitive for a horse of this ability. Each-way alternative: Dancing In Paris. Main danger: All In You — All In You (SR 94, 5/1) has steamed in 20% in the market and carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-0, giving it a 5lb pull on Valedictory — Warren Greatrex running his own son Edward up is a powerful stable signal, and if the 89-day break has freshened this horse the market move demands respect.
Full result
Winner: Valedictory (GB) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Valedictory Fox #1 10/3
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2
Ernst Blofeld 7/1
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3
Say What You See Fox #2 5/1
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4
All In You Fox #4 5/1
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5
Dancing In Paris Fox #3 7/1
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6
Boatswain 15/2
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7
Arqoob 16/1
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8
Team Player 12/1
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—
Fantasy World 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Valedictory 3/1 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Say What You See 5/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Dancing In Paris 8/1 5TH
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4
All In You 5/1 🏁 4TH