Fantasy World won two starts back and brings solid recent form into this, having also scored in his last five starts — he has run over today's trip and going, and at 138 lb he faces a stern test, though his rating of 102 marks him as the one to beat.
Form last 61531-7
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR102RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Valedictory won back-to-back races in his last six starts and returns fit on 25 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and going and a trainer firing at 33% — the chief concern is his seventh last time out suggesting he can run below his best.
Form last 6261157
★AI Rating★★★★☆
109SR101RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Ernst Blofeld has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 101 puts him right among the leading contenders at 23 days between runs suggesting he arrives fresh; the worry is that he has failed to reach the frame in his last three starts.
Form last 6-41755
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR101RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Team Player was unplaced last time out and ranks seventh of nine on our figures, making him hard to fancy at the weights. There is something to work with — a second two starts back and experience over today's trip and going — but the overall profile makes him difficult to recommend.
Form last 6115920
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR96RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Say What You See is hard to fancy at the weights despite some credit in recent starts — a winner three starts back, and third last time out, suggesting he retains some form, with going experience also in his favour.
Form last 6521123
★AI Rating★★★★☆
101SR94RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Dancing In Paris arrives here a winner last time out and our rating of 97 puts him clear of most rivals; he has run over today's trip and going, and 129 lb is the chief concern.
Form last 60-9051
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR97RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Boatswain has experience of today's trip and conditions and boasts a win two starts back, but his last outing — an eighth — clouds his claims, and at 127 lb there is plenty to carry here.
Form last 6-03718
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR97RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Arqoob arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, though ranked sixth of nine on our figures and carrying 127 lb, he faces a stiff ask to defy that burden against stronger company.
Form last 6-56311
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR97RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
All In You has won twice in his last four starts, but back-to-back defeats since — including a ninth last time out — make him hard to fancy returning after 89 days off, and he ranks eighth of nine on our figures.
Form last 6117/9
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR95RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Valedictory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3John & Thady GosdenRobert Havlin
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
All In You
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Warren Greatrex✓ Value Signal
Arqoob
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · Lucy Wadham◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Valedictory (SR 109, 3/1) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin over the next-best Say What You See (SR 101). Crucially, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this horse is proven at today's trip and today's going — the two most critical fitness overlays for a 1m6f handicap on good ground. The Gosden yard runs at 24% career strike rate and Robert Havlin is a reliable stable jockey. Carrying 9-5 is the joint-heaviest in the field but the SR advantage more than compensates, and the visor suggests connections are intent on winning today rather than schooling. A MarkMv:+3 since last win is a modest rise and should not be prohibitive for a horse of this ability.
Each-way alternative: Dancing In Paris.
Main danger: All In You — All In You (SR 94, 5/1) has steamed in 20% in the market and carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-0, giving it a 5lb pull on Valedictory — Warren Greatrex running his own son Edward up is a powerful stable signal, and if the 89-day break has freshened this horse the market move demands respect.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Robert Havlin's 15% strike rate is notably below the yard's 24% — when Havlin rather than a senior Gosden jockey (Dettori/Buick-level) takes the ride, the stable's win rate historically drops sharply…
Course record shows W0P1 at Doncaster — has visited before without winning, and Doncaster's wide, galloping 1m6f straight can expose horses that prefer a more turning track; no course win is a concre…
Dancing In Paris (SR 96, 8/1) has drifted IN 31% in the market — a significant move for a rival — suggesting informed money is landing on an opponent, which directly undermines confidence in Valedict…
The visor (HG:v) is a first-time or reapplied headgear flag implying the horse has been inconsistent or non-genuine; form string '261157' shows a '7' last time out which, if recent, raises questions…
ShortlistValedictory, Say What You See, Dancing In Paris, All In You