← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dandy Magic
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Dandy Magic (SR:82, 6/1) is joint-highest SR in the field alongside Archduke Ferdinand yet carries a more manageable 9-5, giving him a 8lb weight advantage over the top-weight Topwarrior and 2lb over Archduke Ferdinand. His form string 444313 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level, and a small market move in (6%) signals quiet confidence from connections. Jim Goldie (14% strike rate from 1,983 runners) is a reliable operator in these northern handicaps, and apprentice Lauren Young carries a 3lb claim which effectively reduces the carried weight further. The going and distance fit are moderate (GoingFit:~, DistFit:-) but the same caveat applies to most of the field, and his mark is only 5lb above his last win — manageable for a horse showing a consistent placed profile. Each-way alternative: Archduke Ferdinand. Main danger: Archduke Ferdinand — Archduke Ferdinand (SR:82, 9/1) matches Dandy Magic on SR, has steamed in 19% in the market, and boasts a course record of W1P2 at Doncaster — the course specialist angle is a genuine threat in a 16-runner field.
Full result
Winner: Arduis Invicta (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Arduis Invicta 20/1
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2
Dandy Magic Fox #1 11/2
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3
Charlie Mason 11/1
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4
Shazani 8/1
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5
Mo of Cairo 8/1
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6
Ay Up Duck 28/1
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7
Purest Time 11/1
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8
Topwarrior 18/1
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9
Jenever 10/1
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10
Archduke Ferdinand Fox #2 10/1
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11
Raatea 12/1
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12
Another Investment 14/1
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13
Evening Blues 16/1
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14
Miraculous Fox #4 17/2
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15
Rotokura Belle 22/1
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16
Sixtygeesbaby Fox #3 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dandy Magic 6/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Archduke Ferdinand 10/1 10TH
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3
Sixtygeesbaby 8/1 16TH
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4
Miraculous 17/2 14TH