Doncaster 17:20 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Sep 2026

Sunday 13 September Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 6f2y

Official Result

Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Arduis Invicta (IRE) William Pyle · Craig Lidster
    12/1
  2. 9/2F
  3. 20/1
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13:25–17:20 · 8 races

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13:45–17:45 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Topwarrior silks
Topwarrior
Age 4 · 10-4
01-000
87
72
91
4
10-4
18/1 FCST 14/1
Topwarrior arrives here just 16 days since his last outing, bringing distance and going experience alongside a weight of 144 lb from stall 13, and our rating has him narrowly top-rated on adjusted figures — the risk is a run of three unplaced efforts since that win four starts back.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Evening Blues silks
Evening Blues
Age 3 · 10-0
-57203
85
71
89
3
10-0
16/1 12/1 14/1
Placed third last time out and a second three starts back, Evening Blues arrives here in decent heart after 35 days off, with experience over today's trip an asset; yet to win in recent starts, but his profile suits these conditions and he merits each-way consideration at a mark of 85.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Purest Time silks
Purest Time
Age 6 · 10-0
071790
83
76
82
6
10-0
11/1 17/2 10/1
Beaten in his last three starts and unplaced most recently, Purest Time does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and a win four starts back shows he can find the line; 140 lb from stall 10 makes life no easier.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Archduke Ferdinand silks
Archduke Ferdinand
Age 7 · 9-13
304120
82
82
82
7
9-13
10/1 10/1 17/2
Archduke Ferdinand showed his best when winning three starts back and filling the runner-up spot two starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and his recent inconsistency gives pause; has run over today's trip and going, and 22 days since his last run suggests he is fit to go.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sixtygeesbaby silks
Sixtygeesbaby
Age 4 · 9-13
085513
82
78
77
4
9-13
8/1 FCST 7/1
Showed a flash of form with a win two starts back, though he was third last time out and has struggled for consistency in recent starts; has run over today's trip and going, but our rating suggests he holds a slight deficit to the top of this field.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Mo of Cairo silks
Mo of Cairo
Age 3 · 9-8
2-6649
79
72
81
3
9-8
8/1 11/1 7/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 66 days off, Mo of Cairo faces a stiff ask from stall nine carrying 134 lb, though a second five starts back and experience over today's trip offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ay Up Duck silks
Ay Up Duck
Age 3 · 9-7
188710
78
51
69
3
9-7
28/1 20/1 25/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Ay Up Duck faces a stiff ask, and an unplaced effort last time out after a winning return two starts back does little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and a draw of six is noted, but the weight of 133 lb adds to the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Shazani silks
Shazani
Age 4 · 9-6
752311
75
79
72
4
9-6
8/1 5/1 8/1
Ranked well down the field on our figures and carrying 132 lb, Shazani is hard to fancy against stronger-rated rivals, though his recent back-to-back wins show he arrives in form and he has experience of today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Miraculous silks
Miraculous
Age 4 · 9-5
578124
74
81
78
4
9-5
17/2 17/2 8/1
Miraculous showed he can win, landing the spoils three starts back, but fourth last time out and a tendency to run in snatches in recent starts are the sticking points; he has distance and going experience to call on and arrives fit enough on a 17-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Dandy Magic silks
Dandy Magic
Age 4 · 9-5
444313
74
82
72
4
9-5
11/2 6/1 5/1
Ranked well adrift of most rivals on our figures, Dandy Magic faces a stiff task off 131 lb from stall 7, and her record of one win in her last six starts does little to inspire confidence, though she was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Raatea silks
Raatea
Age 9 · 9-4
-23504
73
70
80
9
9-4
12/1 7/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts, Raatea at least showed some promise with a second and a third in recent starts, but a fourth last time out and carrying 130 lb from stall 12 are the challenges he faces here, though he has experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Charlie Mason silks
Charlie Mason
Age 5 · 9-4
716806
73
70
84
5
9-4
11/1 7/1 11/1
Quick turnaround of 12 days keeps Charlie Mason fit and sharp, he has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 84 puts him among the chief threats from stall 2; the concern is that his win came five starts back, with four moderate efforts since.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Arduis Invicta silks
Arduis Invicta
Age 3 · 9-4
662409
75
64
83
3
9-4
20/1 FCST 18/1
Arduis Invicta has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 82 marks her out as a strong threat in a wide-open field; a second four starts back gives her a form line to build on, though back-to-back disappointing efforts since are the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Jenever silks
Jenever
Age 7 · 9-3
578342
72
74
77
7
9-3
10/1 8/1 17/2
Jenever arrives in fair nick after a second last time out and, while yet to win in his last six starts, he has experience over today's trip and going; 129 lb from stall 16 are the variables to weigh against a rating of 77 suggesting a shade of unexploited potential.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Rotokura Belle silks
Rotokura Belle
Age 3 · 9-1
417376
72
59
75
3
9-1
22/1 10/1 22/1
Ranked 12 of 16 on our figures, Rotokura Belle has finished sixth and seventh in her last two starts and offers little encouragement, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a third three starts back shows she can reach the frame when conditions click.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Another Investment silks
Another Investment
Age 7 · 9-1
022265
70
66
72
7
9-1
14/1 14/1 12/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a fifth last time out and sixth two starts back, Another Investment ranks near the foot of the field on our figures; a cold trainer strike-rate and a top weight of 127 lb make him very hard to fancy, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Topwarrior 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 14/1 18/1 Bet365
2 Evening Blues 16/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Purest Time 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Archduke Ferdinand 10/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 10/1 Bet365
5 Sixtygeesbaby 8/1 open 10.00 7/1 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 8/1 Bet365
6 Mo of Cairo 8/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365
7 Ay Up Duck 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Shazani 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 Coral
9 Miraculous 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 Bet365
10 Dandy Magic 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Betfred
11 Raatea 12/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
12 Charlie Mason 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Paddy Power
13 Arduis Invicta 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
14 Jenever 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
15 Rotokura Belle 22/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 25/1 Paddy Power
16 Another Investment 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dandy Magic

Speculative

Dandy Magic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Jim Goldie Lauren Young(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sixtygeesbaby

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · David O'Meara
✓ Value Signal

Ay Up Duck

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Michael Appleby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Dandy Magic
53.5 11/2
2 5. Sixtygeesbaby
52.4 8/1
3 6. Mo of Cairo
49.6 8/1
4 4. Archduke Ferdinand
49.5 10/1
5 8. Shazani
48.3 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dandy Magic
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 4 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-13
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-8
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-6
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 9-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 7 · 9-3
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 10-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 9 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 7 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 4 · 10-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 3 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dandy Magic
Confidence: Speculative

Dandy Magic (SR:82, 6/1) is joint-highest SR in the field alongside Archduke Ferdinand yet carries a more manageable 9-5, giving him a 8lb weight advantage over the top-weight Topwarrior and 2lb over Archduke Ferdinand. His form string 444313 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level, and a small market move in (6%) signals quiet confidence from connections. Jim Goldie (14% strike rate from 1,983 runners) is a reliable operator in these northern handicaps, and apprentice Lauren Young carries a 3lb claim which effectively reduces the carried weight further. The going and distance fit are moderate (GoingFit:~, DistFit:-) but the same caveat applies to most of the field, and his mark is only 5lb above his last win — manageable for a horse showing a consistent placed profile. Each-way alternative: Archduke Ferdinand. Main danger: Archduke Ferdinand — Archduke Ferdinand (SR:82, 9/1) matches Dandy Magic on SR, has steamed in 19% in the market, and boasts a course record of W1P2 at Doncaster — the course specialist angle is a genuine threat in a 16-runner field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Dandy Magic's mark has risen 5lb since his last win, and his form string 444313 shows only one win in six runs — a horse that consistently places without winning raises questions about his ability to…
  • Shazani (SR:79, 15/2) has back-to-back wins, two course wins and five course places at Doncaster specifically — strong course form that Dandy Magic entirely lacks (no course record noted).
  • GoingFit and DistFit both flagged as weak (~/-), yet Archduke Ferdinand (joint-highest SR:82) has a proven going preference marker (HG:p, same as Dandy Magic) and has drifted IN 19% in the market ver…
  • Apprentice Lauren Young's 3lb claim is already factored into the handicapper's mark, meaning the net weight benefit is not as significant as presented, and at 12% strike rate she offers no meaningful…
Shortlist Dandy Magic, Archduke Ferdinand, Sixtygeesbaby, Miraculous
Each-way: Archduke Ferdinand Danger: Archduke Ferdinand

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f2y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade