← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Sun Goddess
HIGH Advised 8/13 SP 4/7F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Sun Goddess (SR 133, 8/13) is the clear standout on every meaningful signal. Her form string of 212111 shows six consecutive good runs culminating in three straight wins, and the market has firmed 14% into 8/13 — the money is not drifting. Ryan Moore (24% career strike rate, 1020 runners — the highest strike rate in this field) takes the ride, a major plus in a Group 1 for A P O'Brien (23%, 1256 runners). Course:W2P2 at the Curragh is outstanding for a two-year-old, DistFit:+ confirms she handles seven furlongs, and while GoingFit is marked as uncertain, the good ground is not a negative for a horse of her class. The one-class step up (ClassMv:↑1) is the only mild concern, but her SR of 133 — 13 points clear of the next best — makes that manageable. Each-way alternative: Green Empress. Main danger: Green Empress — Green Empress (SR 120, 11/4) has a live form line of 221, is ridden by Colin Keane (16% career strike rate), holds Course:W0P2 at the Curragh, and at a much bigger price represents clear second-best ability in the field — if Sun Goddess has any doubts on the going or from the class step up, she is the one to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: Sun Goddess (IRE) at SP 4/7F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sun Goddess Fox #1 8/11
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2
Green Empress Fox #2 11/4
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3
Dancing Destiny 18/1
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4
Ballinea Star 66/1
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5
Alpha Fox #3 5/1
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6
Controlla 50/1
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—
Ibelieveicanfly 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sun Goddess 8/13 SP 4/7F 🏆 WON
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2
Green Empress 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Alpha 13/2 5TH