Curragh 14:50 RESULTED
Class 1 13 Sep 2026

Sunday 13 September Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1)

Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sun Goddess (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien
    4/7F
  2. 3/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alpha silks
Alpha
Age 2 · 9-2
2113
103
113
105
2
9-2
5/1 11/2 9/2
Back-to-back wins before her third last time out keep Alpha firmly in the picture, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the main query is whether 128 lb blunts her finishing kick.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ballinea Star silks
Ballinea Star
Age 2 · 9-2
5411
101
80
93
2
9-2
66/1 20/1 66/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and returning after 78 days off, Ballinea Star is hard to fancy at the weights, though she does arrive on the back of consecutive wins and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Controlla silks
Controlla
Age 2 · 9-2
205
99
82
108
2
9-2
50/1
Controlla shaped with promise when finishing second three starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going keeps her firmly in the mix at a rating of 108, though her run of winless efforts in recent starts and 78 days off the track are the chief concerns.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dancing Destiny silks
Dancing Destiny
Age 2 · 9-2
134122
104
95
100
2
9-2
18/1 10/1 18/1
Ranked bottom but one on our figures and rated below her official mark, Dancing Destiny faces a stiff ask here, though she does have experience of this distance and going, hit the frame last time out, and 22 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Green Empress silks
Green Empress
Age 2 · 9-2
221
105
120
111
2
9-2
11/4 9/4 5/2
Green Empress arrives in fine heart after winning last time out and finishing second twice in the two starts before that, and her experience over today's trip and going underlines her strong claims — the main risk is whether 128 lb stretches her stamina late on.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Ibelieveicanfly silks
Ibelieveicanfly
Age 2 · 9-2
424144
100
81
101
2
9-2
50/1 25/1 50/1
Ibelieveicanfly won two starts back but has finished fourth on three occasions in recent starts, and while she has run over today's distance and going before and steps out from stall one carrying 128 lb, her inconsistency is the key concern here.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Sun Goddess silks
Sun Goddess
Age 2 · 9-2
212111
114
133
122
2
9-2
8/11 10/11 11/18
Sun Goddess arrives on a four-wins-in-last-six streak, with back-to-back victories making her the one to beat here, and she has experience over today's trip and going to call on; a 24-day absence and 128 lb are the only questions her rivals can ask.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alpha 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
2 Ballinea Star 66/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 21.00 80/1 Paddy Power
3 Controlla 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Dancing Destiny 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Paddy Power
5 Green Empress 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.25 5/2 5/2 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 Bet365
6 Ibelieveicanfly 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Sun Goddess 8/11 open 2.00 8/11 open 1.91 4/6 open 1.91 8/13 open 2.00 4/5 open 1.91 4/6 open 2.00 4/5 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sun Goddess

Live signal

Sun Goddess owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Green Empress

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Controlla

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Robson De Aguiar
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Sun Goddess
68.3 8/11
2 5. Green Empress
61.5 11/4
3 1. Alpha
58.7 5/1
4 4. Dancing Destiny
47.2 18/1
5 3. Controlla
42.3 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sun Goddess
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 9-2
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 133 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sun Goddess
Confidence: High

Sun Goddess (SR 133, 8/13) is the clear standout on every meaningful signal. Her form string of 212111 shows six consecutive good runs culminating in three straight wins, and the market has firmed 14% into 8/13 — the money is not drifting. Ryan Moore (24% career strike rate, 1020 runners — the highest strike rate in this field) takes the ride, a major plus in a Group 1 for A P O'Brien (23%, 1256 runners). Course:W2P2 at the Curragh is outstanding for a two-year-old, DistFit:+ confirms she handles seven furlongs, and while GoingFit is marked as uncertain, the good ground is not a negative for a horse of her class. The one-class step up (ClassMv:↑1) is the only mild concern, but her SR of 133 — 13 points clear of the next best — makes that manageable. Each-way alternative: Green Empress. Main danger: Green Empress — Green Empress (SR 120, 11/4) has a live form line of 221, is ridden by Colin Keane (16% career strike rate), holds Course:W0P2 at the Curragh, and at a much bigger price represents clear second-best ability in the field — if Sun Goddess has any doubts on the going or from the class step up, she is the one to capitalise.

Case against 4
  • Green Empress (SR 120, 11/4) is only 13 points behind on SR, ran just 3 races ago, is course-placed W0P2 at the Curragh, and is with in-form JP O'Brien/Colin Keane — a live danger that market respect…
  • ClassMv:↑1 into a Group 1 as a two-year-old over seven furlongs is a genuine jump; her three straight wins came at a lower classification and the form has not yet been tested at this level.
  • GoingFit marked uncertain: if ground is softer than good after recent rain, Sun Goddess's suitability is unconfirmed and Green Empress or Alpha could have a ground advantage.
  • MarkMv:= (flat mark movement) despite the market firming 14% suggests official assessors are not fully buying the SR; the rating of 133 may be flattered by weak opposition in her winning sequence.
Shortlist Sun Goddess, Green Empress, Alpha
Each-way: Green Empress Danger: Green Empress

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade