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Moyglare ''Jewels'' Blandford Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Thundering On
SPECULATIVE Advised 1/1 SP 5/4F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Thundering On (SR 130, 1/1) is the clear class leader in this field — a SR advantage of 18 points over the next-best runner (Lilt, SR 112) is substantial at Group 2 level. The market has backed up this assessment with a 14% inward move since opening, and critically, the JP O'Brien yard has deployed Ryan Moore (24% career strike rate, 1,020 runners) rather than the weaker jockey options on their other two runners, which is the definitive stable signal for their number one. The 3yo fillies' weight allowance (9-5 vs the older horses on 9-8) adds a further edge, meaning Thundering On carries 3lb less than Red Letter for a significant SR superiority. Form of 2-2114 shows a consistent progressive profile capped by back-to-back wins; a 78-day break is the only concern but Haggas-yard market support on Lilt at 5/1 makes that the chief danger. Each-way alternative: Lilt. Main danger: Lilt — Lilt (SR 112, 5/1) has shortened 12% in the market, is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate) with Tom Marquand aboard, and her last-time-out run to a '6' form figure needs context — the '1-1' before it shows a winning profile, and at 9-2 she carries 3lb less than the older horses while representing one of Britain's sharpest yards.
Full result
Winner: Thundering On (GB) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thundering On Fox #1 6/5
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2
Lilt Fox #2 9/2
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3
Red Letter Fox #4 6/1
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4
Timeforshowcasing 9/1
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5
Jennifer Jane 20/1
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6
Symbol Of Majesty Fox #3 11/2
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7
Shaool 25/1
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8
Snapretend 80/1
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9
Spicy Margarita 150/1
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10
Wemightakedlongway 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4